Conf =  MC                        Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Don Smith             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.9318466    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 83.4)     8-13   
 407 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-14, 63.0)    14- 2   
 411 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 84.4)     4-12   
 413 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     2-17   
 414 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-13, 69.9)     6- 8   
 415 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 88.7)     6-16   
 425 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 4, 85.0)     4-12   
 427 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 85.1)     6-15   
 429 A East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (16- 3, 96.8)     3-21   
 502 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 84.4)     6-15   
 504 H East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (16- 3, 96.8)     3-17   
 506 H Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 73.2)     5- 6   
 509 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     4-17   
 511 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 88.7)     5-15   
 513 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 83.4)    12-13   
 514 A Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-14, 63.0)    15- 5   
 521 N Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 82.5)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Spencerport             8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   407 H Livonia                14- 2      12     9           0.09
   411 H Webster Thomas          4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   413 H Brighton, NY            2-17     -15   -27           0.00
   414 H Gates-Chili             6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.98
   415 A Irondequoit             6-16     -10   -17           0.00
   425 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      4-12      -8   -14    +      2.00
   427 A Penfield                6-15      -9   -14           1.00
   429 A East Rochester          3-21     -18   -25           0.00
   502 A Webster Thomas          6-15      -9   -13           1.00
   504 H East Rochester          3-17     -14   -23           0.00
   506 H Brockport               5- 6      -1     0          -0.71
   509 A Brighton, NY            4-17     -13   -29           0.00
   511 H Irondequoit             5-15     -10   -15           0.00
   513 H Spencerport            12-13      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   514 A Livonia                15- 5      10     7    +      2.09
   521 N Victor                  3-12      -9   -10           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Gates-Chili             6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Spencerport            12-13      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   405 H Spencerport             8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   411 H Webster Thomas          4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   425 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      4-12      -8   -14    +      2.00
   514 A Livonia                15- 5      10     7    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.90 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.77 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/