Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   James Holtz           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.0045013    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 85.2)     5- 9   
 407 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   ( 7- 7, 83.1)     4- 9   
 412 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 79.7)    13-11   
 414 H Averill Park           NY B  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 75.1)     7- 4   
 418 H Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   ( 7- 7, 83.1)     8-11   
 420 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 8- 9, 87.1)     4-23   
 421 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 85.2)     5-14   
 426 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 90.1)     6-15   
 428 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 79.7)    10-11   
 430 H Albany Academy SG      NY B  Sec 2   (18- 4, 86.1)    10- 9   
 503 H Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 5, 90.2)    10-19   
 505 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (18- 3, 99.9)     1-25   
 510 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 68.1)   
 512 A Glens Falls            NY B  Sec 2   (13- 6, 79.4)    14-13   
 513 A Averill Park           NY B  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 75.1)     6- 3   
 516 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 1-12, 58.7)    15- 4   
 517 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 90.1)     7-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Shaker                  5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.11
   407 A Niskayuna               4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.80
   412 H Colonie                13-11       2    -2    ++     4.57
   414 H Averill Park            7- 4       3     2           0.95
   418 H Niskayuna               8-11      -3    -5    +      2.97
   420 H Shenendehowa            4-23     -19    -9          -0.02
   421 A Shaker                  5-14      -9    -9           0.94
   426 H Guilderland             6-15      -9   -12           1.00
   428 A Colonie                10-11      -1    -4    +      3.40
   430 H Albany Academy SG      10- 9       1    -8    +++   10.00
   503 H Saratoga Springs       10-19      -9   -13           1.00
   505 A Bethlehem               1-25     -24   -24           0.00
   512 A Glens Falls            14-13       1    -4    ++     5.11
   513 A Averill Park            6- 3       3     0    +      2.78
   516 H South Glens Falls      15- 4      11    18           0.00
   517 A Guilderland             7-18     -11   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Albany Academy SG      10- 9       1    -8    +++   10.00
   405 H Shaker                  5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.11
   412 H Colonie                13-11       2    -2    ++     4.57
   512 A Glens Falls            14-13       1    -4    ++     5.11
   407 A Niskayuna               4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.80
   418 H Niskayuna               8-11      -3    -5    +      2.97
   428 A Colonie                10-11      -1    -4    +      3.40
   513 A Averill Park            6- 3       3     0    +      2.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.22 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.05 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/