Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Devils           Coach  =   Doug Kohler           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.1097641    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 86.9)    11- 6   
 412 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.1)     7- 3   
 414 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 79.5)     8- 4   
 418 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.5)     8-10   
 420 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 86.4)    12-10   
 421 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 82.2)     9- 7 2o
 425 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 90.7)     3- 7   
 426 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 93.1)    13- 4   
 427 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 86.4)     8- 7   
 429 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 93.1)     8-10   
 430 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 84.4)     3-13   
 502 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.5)    11-10 3o
 504 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.1)     7- 4   
 506 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 79.5)    11- 5   
 510 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 86.9)    11-10   
 511 A Nichols School         NY Martin     (13- 4, 93.3)     3-11   
 512 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 90.7)    11- 9   
 514 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 72.0)     6-11   
 519 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 93.1)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Niagara-Wheatfield     11- 6       5     3           1.83
   412 H Sweet Home              7- 3       4     5          -1.04
   414 A West Seneca West        8- 4       4    10    ---   -6.00
   418 H Lancaster               8-10      -2    -3           1.36
   420 A Frontier               12-10       2     3          -1.42
   421 A Williamsville East      9- 7 2o    2     7    --    -5.62
   425 A Williamsville North     3- 7      -4     0    -     -3.12
   426 A Orchard Park           13- 4       9    -3    +++   12.28
   427 H Frontier                8- 7       1     3    -     -2.70
   429 H Orchard Park            8-10      -2    -2           0.99
   430 H Webster Thomas          3-13     -10     6          n/a  
   502 A Lancaster              11-10 3o    1    -3    ++     4.64
   504 A Sweet Home              7- 4       3     4          -1.75
   506 H West Seneca West       11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   510 A Niagara-Wheatfield     11-10       1     2          -1.89
   511 A Nichols School          3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.54
   512 H Williamsville North    11- 9       2     0    +      2.60
   514 H Fairport                6-11      -5    18          n/a  
   519 H Orchard Park            7- 8      -1    -2           1.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A West Seneca West        8- 4       4    10    ---   -6.00
   430 H Webster Thomas          3-13     -10     6    ---        
   514 H Fairport                6-11      -5    18    ---        
   421 A Williamsville East      9- 7 2o    2     7    --    -5.62
   506 H West Seneca West       11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   511 A Nichols School          3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.54
   425 A Williamsville North     3- 7      -4     0    -     -3.12
   427 H Frontier                8- 7       1     3    -     -2.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Orchard Park           13- 4       9    -3    +++   12.28
   502 A Lancaster              11-10 3o    1    -3    ++     4.64
   512 H Williamsville North    11- 9       2     0    +      2.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.95 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.41 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/