Chelmsford                    3 - 7


 
                                     Region = MA Indep               
   Nickname = A Lions                                                 



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   74.5435257    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA Indep      ( 0- 7, 61.3)     4- 1   
 426 A Billerica              MA St/No      ( 5-10, 76.6)     1-15   
 428 H Lowell                 MA St/No      ( 6- 8, 69.3)     6-12   
 503 H Tyngsborough           MA St/No      ( 9- 6, 73.8)     7-11   
 505 H North Middlesex        MA Centrl     ( 6- 9, 69.4)     8-11   
 510 A Lowell                 MA St/No      ( 6- 8, 69.3)    11- 8   
 512 A Andover, MA            MA St/No      (18- 2, 85.2)     3-14   
 516 H Andover, MA            MA St/No      (18- 2, 85.2)     8-20   
 519 A North Middlesex        MA Centrl     ( 6- 9, 69.4)    10-10   
 524 A Tyngsborough           MA St/No      ( 9- 6, 73.8)    11-14   
 525 H Medford                MA St/No      ( 3- 7, 64.9)    11- 2   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Tewksbury Memorial      4- 1       3     5    -     -2.05
   426 A Billerica               1-15     -14   -10           0.00
   428 H Lowell                  6-12      -6     0    --    -5.47
   503 H Tyngsborough            7-11      -4    -5           1.03
   505 H North Middlesex         8-11      -3     0    -     -2.28
   510 A Lowell                 11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.87
   512 A Andover, MA             3-14     -11   -18           0.00
   516 H Andover, MA             8-20     -12   -16           0.00
   519 A North Middlesex        10-10       0    -3    +      3.06
   524 A Tyngsborough           11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.38
   525 H Medford                11- 2       9     3    ++     5.14


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Lowell                  6-12      -6     0    --    -5.47
   412 A Tewksbury Memorial      4- 1       3     5    -     -2.05
   505 H North Middlesex         8-11      -3     0    -     -2.28


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Lowell                 11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.87
   524 A Tyngsborough           11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.38
   525 H Medford                11- 2       9     3    ++     5.14
   519 A North Middlesex        10-10       0    -3    +      3.06




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.56 Local Power Rank...........    76
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.68 Local SOS Rank.............    86
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    74
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    81
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0


  
/