Broad Run                     4 - 4


 
                                     Region = VA Dulles              
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   Heather Hess          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.8408890    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Stone Bridge           VA Dulles     (11- 2, 88.8)     8- 9 2o
 317 A Park View              VA Dulles     ( 1- 4, 69.2)    14- 3   
 331 H Potomac Falls          VA Dulles     ( 4- 3, 74.5)   
 404 H Loudoun Valley         VA Dulles     ( 9- 2, 90.0)     5-14   
 407 A Dominion               VA Dulles     ( 4- 9, 71.5)    10- 3   
 411 H Dominion               VA Dulles     ( 4- 9, 71.5)    15- 3   
 414 A Loudoun Valley         VA Dulles     ( 9- 2, 90.0)     5- 6   
 418 H Park View              VA Dulles     ( 1- 4, 69.2)   
 420 A Liberty-Bealton, VA    VA NW AA      ( 0- 6, 68.4)   
 425 H Fauquier               VA NW AA      ( 2- 5, 77.6)    11- 9   
 428 A Potomac Falls          VA Dulles     ( 4- 3, 74.5)   
 505 H Stone Bridge           VA Dulles     (11- 2, 88.8)     7-10   
 509 A Heritage               VA Dulles     ( 2-10, 68.6)   
 512 H Loudoun County         VA Dulles     ( 5- 4, 77.7)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Stone Bridge            8- 9 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.67
   317 A Park View              14- 3      11    12           0.00
   404 H Loudoun Valley          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.74
   407 A Dominion               10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   411 H Dominion               15- 3      12    12           0.00
   414 A Loudoun Valley          5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.82
   425 H Fauquier               11- 9       2     6    --    -4.15
   505 H Stone Bridge            7-10      -3    -5    +      2.11


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Fauquier               11- 9       2     6    --    -4.15
   404 H Loudoun Valley          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.74
   407 A Dominion               10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Loudoun Valley          5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.82
   314 A Stone Bridge            8- 9 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.67
   505 H Stone Bridge            7-10      -3    -5    +      2.11




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.95 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.22 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7


  
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