Montgomery Blair, MD          3 - 8


 
                                     Region = MD 4A                  
   Nickname = D Blazers              Coach  =   Mike Horne            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   67.6597290    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Poolesville            MD 1A         ( 9- 4, 71.3)     4-16   
 406 H Einstein               MD 3A         ( 1- 8, 49.7)    15- 5   
 409 A Watkins Mill           MD 4A         ( 0-10, 49.5)    12- 3   
 413 H Sherwood               MD 4A         (13- 2, 73.1)     4- 8   
 415 A Blake, MD              MD 4A         ( 6- 6, 66.1)     5-14   
 419 H Springbrook            MD 4A         ( 8- 6, 67.0)     7-11   
 423 A Damascus               MD 4A         (13- 1, 78.2)     2-18   
 427 H John F. Kennedy, MD    MD 3A         ( 0- 9, 47.1)   
 429 A Gaithersburg           MD 4A         ( 1- 8, 52.7)   
 503 H Magruder               MD 4A         ( 7- 6, 66.6)     8- 9   
 505 A Churchill              MD 4A         ( 2- 8, 61.8)   
 509 A Wootton                MD 4A         ( 8- 5, 68.4)     3- 9   
 512 A Einstein               MD 3A         ( 1- 8, 49.7)    11- 5   
 514 A Walter Johnson         MD 4A         (11- 5, 71.2)     6-10   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Poolesville             4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   406 H Einstein               15- 5      10    10           0.00
   409 A Watkins Mill           12- 3       9     8           0.10
   413 H Sherwood                4- 8      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   415 A Blake, MD               5-14      -9    -7          -1.27
   419 H Springbrook             7-11      -4    -6    +      2.72
   423 A Damascus                2-18     -16   -19           0.00
   503 H Magruder                8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.32
   509 A Wootton                 3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.98
   512 A Einstein               11- 5       6     8    -     -2.75
   514 A Walter Johnson          6-10      -4   -12    +++    6.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Einstein               11- 5       6     8    -     -2.75


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Sherwood                4- 8      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   514 A Walter Johnson          6-10      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   503 H Magruder                8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.32
   419 H Springbrook             7-11      -4    -6    +      2.72
   509 A Wootton                 3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.98




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 59.36 Local Power Rank...........    85
 Local SOS Rating......... 34.98 Local SOS Rank.............    89
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    75
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   100
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3


  
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