Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Amy Lamitie           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.9242554    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (17- 4, 97.6)     6-14   
 402 H Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 5-12, 79.1)    12- 7   
 404 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 82.8)     8- 7   
 406 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 84.0)     8-11   
 408 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (12- 7, 94.3)     7-12   
 409 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 90.1)     5-15   
 411 A Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   (11- 6, 93.8)     3- 8   
 413 A Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   ( 2-16, 75.5)    11- 3   
 415 H Mt. Anthony Union      VT DI         (10- 6, 90.2)    13- 9   
 419 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (12- 7, 94.3)     1-11   
 426 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (17- 4, 97.6)     8-16   
 428 A Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 82.8)     7-11   
 429 H Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 84.0)     9- 8   
 502 H Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (16- 2, 99.9)     3-10   
 505 H Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   ( 0-12, 68.4)    12- 2   
 509 A Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   ( 9- 8, 87.5)     8-11   
 518 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 84.0)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Ithaca                  6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   402 H Owego Free Academy     12- 7       5     6          -1.85
   404 H Union-Endicott          8- 7       1     3    -     -2.19
   406 A Vestal                  8-11      -3     0    -     -2.54
   408 H Horseheads              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.36
   409 A Guilderland             5-15     -10    -6          n/a  
   411 A Maine-Endwell           3- 8      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   413 A Johnson City           11- 3       8     7           0.04
   415 H Mt. Anthony Union      13- 9       4    -4          n/a  
   419 A Horseheads              1-11     -10   -10           0.00
   426 A Ithaca                  8-16      -8   -14    +      2.00
   428 A Union-Endicott          7-11      -4     0    --    -4.69
   429 H Vestal                  9- 8       1     2          -1.03
   502 H Corning East            3-10      -7   -13    +      3.00
   505 H Chenango Forks         12- 2      10    17           0.00
   509 A Corning West            8-11      -3    -4           1.02
   518 A Vestal                  6- 7      -1     0          -0.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Union-Endicott          7-11      -4     0    --    -4.69
   404 H Union-Endicott          8- 7       1     3    -     -2.19
   406 A Vestal                  8-11      -3     0    -     -2.54
   409 A Guilderland             5-15     -10    -6    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Mt. Anthony Union      13- 9       4    -4    +++        
   411 A Maine-Endwell           3- 8      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   329 H Ithaca                  6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   408 H Horseheads              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.36
   426 A Ithaca                  8-16      -8   -14    +      2.00
   502 H Corning East            3-10      -7   -13    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.74 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.63 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/