2004 girls New Jersey Public
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Oak Knoll School 20 2 7 34 4 6 1 4 11 0.10 2 West Essex 20 2 5 16 2 9 2 2 13 2.00 3 Eastern 13 3 2 1 7 2 6 8 16 20.00 4 Shawnee 16 4 4 3 6 3 13 6 22 5.00 5 Mountain Lakes 19 3 8 7 3 5 16 3 24 0.10 6 Shore Regional 16 3 17 36 16 8 12 10 30 0.10 7 Toms River North 16 1 11 87 9 11 14 9 34 0.10 8 Lenape 11 6 20 6 17 19 4 16 39 0.10 9 Moorestown 23 1 1 2 1 1 37 1 39 72.00 10 Ridgewood 13 6 9 4 21 13 17 13 43 0.10 11 Cherokee 13 7 15 11 18 22 3 19 44 0.10 12 Holy Cross, NJ 20 3 6 17 8 10 29 5 44 0.10 13 Madison 12 8 22 8 33 16 5 26 47 0.10 14 Red Bank Catholi 9 4 37 30 39 17 9 32 58 0.10 15 Ridge 15 5 16 33 15 15 40 17 72 0.10 16 Lawrenceville Sc 16 0 3 29 5 4 62 7 73 1.00 17 Caldwell 18 2 35 116 12 18 46 11 75 0.10 18 Jackson Memorial 11 8 47 67 60 28 7 48 83 0.10 19 Pingry School 12 5 24 47 20 27 38 21 86 0.10 20 Chatham 13 7 31 54 41 32 22 35 89 0.10 21 Kent Place Schoo 11 6 18 24 32 21 39 29 89 0.10 22 Mendham 16 6 13 13 13 20 50 20 90 0.10 23 Washington Towns 8 8 34 9 44 34 8 51 93 0.10 24 West Windsor-PB 9 3 19 31 22 14 56 23 93 0.10 25 Manasquan 11 6 45 61 47 39 21 38 98 0.10 26 Bridgewater-Rari 15 3 10 50 11 12 75 14 101 0.10 27 Cinnaminson 10 7 32 40 50 46 11 45 102 0.10 28 Hun School 12 3 12 20 10 7 83 12 102 0.10 29 Northern Burling 12 5 28 53 28 45 32 30 107 0.10 30 Notre Dame, NJ 10 6 33 56 42 47 19 43 109 0.10 31 New Egypt 11 5 36 60 30 56 25 31 112 0.10 32 Cherry Hill West 10 5 41 62 37 43 34 36 113 0.10 33 Princeton Day Sc 3 7 59 5 55 31 42 56 129 0.10 34 Jefferson Townsh 12 5 70 121 45 44 44 42 130 0.10 35 Montclair-Kimber 7 10 52 21 70 51 10 69 130 0.10 36 West Morris Cent 12 4 14 26 14 24 92 18 134 0.10 37 Hunterdon Centra 8 2 25 82 19 30 91 15 136 0.10 38 Columbia, NJ 8 5 23 22 25 38 63 40 141 0.10 39 Princeton HS 8 6 46 66 53 53 31 57 141 0.10 40 Southern Regiona 7 7 53 58 66 36 45 60 141 0.10 41 Westfield, NJ 5 7 60 41 56 55 23 64 142 0.10 42 St. Rose 12 7 27 39 74 25 70 49 144 0.10 43 Glen Ridge 14 3 54 122 23 40 81 24 145 0.10 44 Summit, NJ 7 6 30 18 34 52 47 47 146 0.10 45 Rumson-Fair Have 5 7 50 25 75 29 59 59 147 0.10 46 Blair Academy, N 11 10 49 42 59 49 35 68 152 0.10 47 Camden Catholic 11 6 39 68 43 54 54 44 152 0.10 48 Immaculata 5 4 57 74 46 41 65 46 152 0.10 49 Northern Highlan 10 6 42 64 40 59 55 41 155 0.10 50 Peddie School 9 5 21 28 29 23 98 37 158 0.10 51 Hillsborough, NJ 11 3 26 95 24 37 97 25 159 0.10 52 Stuart CDS 7 5 48 44 36 48 74 39 161 0.10 53 Toms River East 10 10 65 89 94 62 24 76 162 0.10 54 Ocean Township 11 4 40 79 31 26 116 22 164 0.10 55 Collingswood 14 4 29 77 27 42 99 28 169 0.10 56 Randolph 6 10 64 19 71 72 20 79 171 0.10 57 Montclair HS 10 9 38 23 51 33 87 52 172 0.10 58 Millville 10 8 44 63 65 60 48 65 173 0.10 59 Red Bank Regiona 10 5 51 110 49 67 61 50 178 0.10 60 Wayne Hills 8 6 74 112 62 58 66 61 185 0.10 61 Newark Academy, 8 7 63 55 48 50 85 53 188 0.10 62 Wall Township 7 4 56 75 38 35 121 34 190 0.10 63 South Brunswick 7 7 72 93 73 70 49 75 194 0.10 64 St. John Vianney 5 10 61 46 104 63 41 92 196 0.10 65 Old Bridge 11 3 43 106 26 65 112 27 204 0.10 66 Fair Lawn 8 9 90 123 90 81 36 88 205 0.10 67 Ramapo 12 6 62 120 54 57 95 55 207 0.10 68 Willingboro 4 12 76 35 108 83 18 108 209 0.10 69 Cherry Hill East 8 9 58 52 84 64 64 83 211 0.10 70 Hopewell Valley 3 13 84 43 116 82 15 119 216 0.10 71 Vernon Township 8 7 79 114 76 66 78 73 217 0.10 72 Bernards 6 11 78 81 99 85 30 103 218 0.10 73 Phillipsburg 8 8 69 83 83 68 72 81 221 0.10 74 Whippany Park 0 1 125 117 35 111 80 33 224 0.10 75 Ocean City 7 10 75 76 91 88 43 95 226 0.10 76 Pennsauken 4 12 94 49 103 92 28 107 227 0.10 77 Livingston 4 10 67 12 77 69 71 91 231 0.10 78 Delran 5 10 68 37 78 77 79 77 233 0.10 79 Lawrence 1 8 114 71 86 116 27 90 233 0.10 80 West Windsor-PB 6 7 66 51 63 61 101 72 234 0.10 81 Immaculate Heart 2 8 97 96 93 71 77 89 237 0.10 82 Rutgers Prep 9 9 71 99 80 86 69 82 237 0.10 83 Mgsr. Donovan 4 5 81 107 58 79 104 63 246 0.10 84 Toms River South 3 5 92 102 61 84 102 66 252 0.10 85 New Providence 3 10 96 90 100 103 51 100 254 0.10 86 Howell 6 6 73 103 67 73 118 67 258 0.10 87 Freehold Townshi 5 7 77 113 79 93 89 78 260 0.10 88 Central Regional 3 4 93 111 52 89 120 54 263 0.10 89 Hanover Park, NJ 2 14 116 104 124 107 33 124 264 0.10 90 Millburn 4 11 89 38 97 78 90 97 265 0.10 91 Winslow Township 3 11 86 72 112 100 53 112 265 0.10 92 Wayne Valley 4 10 99 108 107 75 88 104 267 0.10 93 Bergen Tech 4 8 101 109 88 76 107 85 268 0.10 94 Maple Shade 0 16 118 27 125 117 26 125 268 0.10 95 Morristown 1 13 87 10 105 94 60 115 269 0.10 96 Montgomery, NJ 3 12 100 73 118 96 57 117 270 0.10 97 Morristown-Beard 5 10 85 65 96 80 93 98 271 0.10 98 Ewing Township 0 7 117 69 85 121 67 86 274 0.10 99 Montville Townsh 9 11 55 70 89 74 108 94 276 0.10 100 Pennington Schoo 3 11 83 14 82 87 109 84 280 0.10 101 Indian Hills, NJ 0 12 122 100 121 102 58 121 281 0.10 102 Pope John XXIII 1 14 107 45 122 109 52 123 284 0.10 103 Voorhees 3 7 91 88 81 91 113 80 284 0.10 104 Governor Livings 2 11 103 78 113 101 73 111 285 0.10 105 North Hunterdon 2 10 109 86 106 104 76 105 285 0.10 106 Manchester Towns 1 5 124 124 64 124 105 62 291 0.10 107 Rancocas Valley 2 13 82 32 117 95 84 114 293 0.10 108 North Brunswick 3 8 95 94 87 99 111 87 297 0.10 109 Brick Memorial 3 10 111 97 101 105 96 99 300 0.10 110 Pinelands Region 1 5 119 115 68 113 119 70 302 0.10 111 Watchung Hills 1 10 104 91 110 112 82 109 303 0.10 112 Purnell School 0 4 126 118 57 125 123 58 306 0.10 113 St. Elizabeth 2 10 98 48 98 90 114 102 306 0.10 114 Dwight-Englewood 1 10 112 119 111 115 86 110 311 0.10 115 Brick Township 1 10 123 84 109 106 106 101 313 0.10 116 Paul VI, NJ 3 11 88 57 102 97 110 106 313 0.10 117 Middle Township 0 15 121 59 126 120 68 126 314 0.10 118 Point Pleasant B 1 5 113 125 69 122 124 71 317 0.10 119 Holmdel 2 8 110 101 92 108 117 93 318 0.10 120 Lower Cape May 2 11 102 80 115 114 94 113 321 0.10 121 Monmouth Regiona 1 8 105 92 95 110 115 96 321 0.10 122 Lacordaire Acade 4 6 106 126 72 123 126 74 323 0.10 123 East Brunswick 0 11 108 85 119 118 103 116 337 0.10 124 Roxbury 2 14 80 15 114 98 122 120 340 0.10 125 Long Branch 2 13 115 98 123 119 100 122 341 0.10 126 Paramus Catholic 0 11 120 105 120 126 125 118 369 0.10