girls probabilites for 31
 
 

2004 girls Maryland 4/3/2/1

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Century, MD 17 2 4 10 5 2 1 2 5 0.10 2 C. Milton Wright 17 1 2 1 1 1 14 1 16 8.00 3 Broadneck 14 4 6 3 4 9 4 4 17 3.00 4 South River 16 3 3 5 2 4 11 5 20 1.00 5 South Carroll 13 4 12 22 14 7 5 17 29 0.10 6 Damascus 14 1 24 71 11 10 15 7 32 0.10 7 Mt. Hebron 18 0 1 6 3 3 32 3 38 86.00 8 Walter Johnson 12 3 29 77 32 14 9 15 38 0.10 9 Walt Whitman, MD 11 5 30 46 23 6 20 14 40 0.10 10 Towson HS 13 1 7 57 7 8 29 6 43 0.10 11 Urbana 13 3 15 62 22 17 6 20 43 0.10 12 Annapolis 10 5 13 4 10 15 21 21 57 0.10 13 Westminster, MD 9 7 34 45 52 28 2 39 69 0.10 14 Fallston 6 5 22 2 24 18 19 33 70 0.10 15 North Carroll 10 6 25 41 40 30 3 37 70 0.10 16 Liberty, MD 9 6 21 34 31 22 31 24 77 0.10 17 North Harford 13 4 10 25 9 13 48 16 77 0.10 18 Old Mill 10 6 23 21 27 32 8 38 78 0.10 19 Poolesville 13 2 31 107 16 33 37 9 79 0.10 20 Glenelg HS 10 5 14 24 19 20 42 18 80 0.10 21 Centennial, MD 10 6 19 7 18 25 30 30 85 0.10 22 Severna Park 13 3 5 9 6 16 60 10 86 2.00 23 Catonsville 13 4 11 13 8 5 74 8 87 0.10 24 Sherwood 9 5 44 75 53 34 17 36 87 0.10 25 Winters Mill 7 8 28 27 51 26 12 49 87 0.10 26 Easton 14 3 16 47 13 19 59 11 89 0.10 27 Hereford 12 3 9 42 17 12 70 19 101 0.10 28 Churchill 8 5 41 85 55 36 28 41 105 0.10 29 Dulaney 11 5 8 8 12 11 83 13 107 0.10 30 Southern, Anne A 8 7 26 16 42 24 36 47 107 0.10 31 Calvert 15 2 18 72 15 23 79 12 114 0.10 32 Bel Air 6 9 39 20 58 39 7 70 116 0.10 33 Perry Hall 9 6 38 49 37 31 44 42 117 0.10 34 Parkville 7 7 51 48 57 40 24 56 120 0.10 35 Catoctin 10 3 50 109 29 45 49 28 122 0.10 36 Wootton 5 5 56 70 65 35 41 50 126 0.10 37 River Hill 9 4 17 17 21 29 77 23 129 0.10 38 Walkersville 7 6 62 64 54 43 34 52 129 0.10 39 Loch Raven 12 2 33 102 20 21 90 22 133 0.10 40 Edgewood 7 7 52 58 56 51 26 58 135 0.10 41 Kent County 3 8 60 26 66 49 27 59 135 0.10 42 Stephen Decatur 5 6 49 38 59 41 45 55 141 0.10 43 Franklin Regiona 6 7 35 28 35 27 84 34 145 0.10 44 Springbrook 5 8 70 76 94 56 13 78 147 0.10 45 J.M. Bennett 10 6 46 61 46 44 58 46 148 0.10 46 Bethesda-Chevy C 10 4 48 100 43 42 75 32 149 0.10 47 Middletown, MD 10 4 53 113 41 55 53 45 153 0.10 48 Quince Orchard 3 10 69 55 108 46 18 91 155 0.10 49 Atholton 8 7 32 35 48 57 40 62 159 0.10 50 Blake, MD 9 4 47 108 44 58 69 40 167 0.10 51 Arundel 5 8 37 12 47 48 57 64 169 0.10 52 Queen Anne's Cou 10 2 20 67 30 38 103 29 170 0.10 53 Joppatowne 3 5 64 56 49 66 55 53 174 0.10 54 Randallstown 0 1 112 114 34 116 23 35 174 0.10 55 Watkins Mill 3 6 75 74 77 65 46 63 174 0.10 56 Aberdeen 4 5 61 59 45 63 61 51 175 0.10 57 Chesapeake, AA C 7 6 27 31 39 47 80 48 175 0.10 58 Francis Scott Ke 4 9 77 36 93 62 22 92 176 0.10 59 Montgomery Blair 6 7 58 93 80 67 39 74 180 0.10 60 Leonardtown 10 3 43 89 33 60 93 31 184 0.10 61 Eastern Technica 9 4 45 92 36 37 104 44 185 0.10 62 Kent Island 1 6 78 37 81 74 38 79 191 0.10 63 Richard Montgome 7 7 67 96 79 61 71 60 192 0.10 64 Wilde Lake 6 7 40 40 64 72 47 73 192 0.10 65 Pikesville 7 6 54 90 67 52 81 66 199 0.10 66 Howard 8 8 42 33 61 59 64 77 200 0.10 67 Northeast 1 11 87 15 103 77 16 109 202 0.10 68 Sparrows Point 8 5 65 104 50 53 97 54 204 0.10 69 Frederick 1 12 98 50 116 80 10 115 205 0.10 70 Linganore 6 7 85 95 75 76 50 80 206 0.10 71 Hammond 6 7 36 29 60 68 67 75 210 0.10 72 Owings Mills 6 6 59 82 62 50 99 61 210 0.10 73 Seneca Valley, M 5 5 63 79 63 54 101 57 212 0.10 74 Long Reach 2 10 73 19 96 82 25 106 213 0.10 75 North County 5 11 55 23 78 79 43 94 216 0.10 76 Parkside 5 8 66 63 83 83 51 83 217 0.10 77 Chopticon 1 6 68 39 73 73 86 67 226 0.10 78 Kenwood 6 9 72 66 86 87 52 89 228 0.10 79 Carver A&T, Balt 2 7 102 83 85 81 68 87 236 0.10 80 Meade 0 9 89 18 89 106 35 95 236 0.10 81 Thomas Johnson 2 11 91 69 115 95 33 114 242 0.10 82 Glen Burnie 3 11 74 30 88 92 54 97 243 0.10 83 Western, Baltimo 5 6 71 88 38 88 112 43 243 0.10 84 Magruder 2 9 81 52 102 75 87 82 244 0.10 85 Cambridge-S Dorc 1 9 101 32 101 84 66 96 246 0.10 86 Northwest 1 5 83 65 70 69 113 65 247 0.10 87 Paint Branch 5 9 86 106 105 91 56 100 247 0.10 88 Einstein 1 7 100 80 91 96 65 88 249 0.10 89 Northern-Calvert 4 6 57 51 71 70 111 68 249 0.10 90 Smithsburg 5 7 82 111 72 86 100 72 258 0.10 91 Great Mills 1 7 84 54 74 85 107 71 263 0.10 92 North Hagerstown 3 6 97 94 68 93 102 69 264 0.10 93 Woodlawn 0 7 110 60 84 107 72 85 264 0.10 94 Polytechnic, Bal 4 8 79 91 76 89 98 81 268 0.10 95 Dundalk 4 9 88 73 87 101 78 90 269 0.10 96 Reservoir 0 10 80 11 106 97 62 112 271 0.10 97 Lansdowne 5 9 92 101 99 78 91 103 272 0.10 98 Oakland Mills 0 12 95 14 113 94 63 116 273 0.10 99 Rockville 1 6 106 81 82 90 109 84 283 0.10 100 Patuxent 0 9 90 44 90 103 95 86 284 0.10 101 Chesapeake, Balt 1 9 109 98 107 105 73 107 285 0.10 102 Overlea 1 8 105 97 97 98 89 99 286 0.10 103 Gaithersburg 1 9 96 86 110 100 85 105 290 0.10 104 Harford Tech 4 7 76 87 69 108 114 76 298 0.10 105 Havre De Grace 0 8 94 68 95 113 88 98 299 0.10 106 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 10 99 43 112 112 76 111 299 0.10 107 Western STES 2 8 104 112 100 104 94 102 300 0.10 108 Patapsco 1 13 93 53 114 99 92 113 304 0.10 109 South Hagerstown 2 8 111 105 98 102 108 101 311 0.10 110 Brunswick 0 13 113 110 117 114 82 117 313 0.10 111 Tuscarora 1 10 114 78 109 111 96 108 315 0.10 112 City College 0 7 107 103 92 115 110 93 318 0.10 113 John F. Kennedy, 0 8 108 84 104 109 106 104 319 0.10 114 Wheaton 1 9 103 99 111 110 105 110 325 0.10 115 Milford Mill Aca 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 116 New Town 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 117 Patterson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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