Conf =  FL                        Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Pat Flanagan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.6142807    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Palmyra-Macedon        NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 8, 77.7)    11- 3   
 407 H Mynderse Academy       NY B  Sec 5   ( 1-14, 68.9)    16- 6   
 419 H Marcus Whitman         NY B  Sec 5   (12- 5, 85.9)     7- 8   
 421 H Midlakes               NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.9)    11- 9   
 424 H East Irondequoit       NY B  Sec 5   ( 1-16, 70.3)     8- 3   
 426 H Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 79.8)    10- 5   
 428 A Penn Yan Academy       NY B  Sec 5   (21- 1, 99.9)     4-20   
 430 A Livonia                NY B  Sec 5   ( 1-10, 68.5)    12- 3   
 503 H Newark, NY             NY B  Sec 5   (12- 7, 83.5)    10- 5   
 504 A De Sales               NY B  Sec 5   ( 1-13, 68.4)    19- 7   
 505 H Canandaigua Academy    NY A  Sec 5   (13- 4, 88.4)     7- 9   
 510 H Penn Yan Academy       NY B  Sec 5   (21- 1, 99.9)     5-17   
 511 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 82.6)     9-10   
 513 A Canandaigua Academy    NY A  Sec 5   (13- 4, 88.4)     9-11   
 514 A Newark, NY             NY B  Sec 5   (12- 7, 83.5)    12-13   
 515 A Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 79.8)     7-10   
 517 H Livonia                NY B  Sec 5   ( 1-10, 68.5)    17- 2   
 519 A Marcus Whitman         NY B  Sec 5   (12- 5, 85.9)    13-10   
 521 A Penn Yan Academy       NY B  Sec 5   (21- 1, 99.9)     6-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Palmyra-Macedon        11- 3       8     4    +      3.42
   407 H Mynderse Academy       16- 6      10    15           0.00
   419 H Marcus Whitman          7- 8      -1    -1           0.60
   421 H Midlakes               11- 9       2     5    -     -3.31
   424 H East Irondequoit        8- 3       5    13    --    -5.00
   426 H Geneva                 10- 5       5     4           0.56
   428 A Penn Yan Academy        4-20     -16   -17           0.00
   430 A Livonia                12- 3       9    13          -1.00
   503 H Newark, NY             10- 5       5     0    ++     4.23
   504 A De Sales               19- 7      12    13           0.00
   505 H Canandaigua Academy     7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.17
   510 H Penn Yan Academy        5-17     -12   -15           0.00
   511 H Pittsford               9-10      -1     1    -     -2.66
   513 A Canandaigua Academy     9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.12
   514 A Newark, NY             12-13      -1    -1           0.18
   515 A Geneva                  7-10      -3     2    --    -5.49
   517 H Livonia                17- 2      15    15           0.00
   519 A Marcus Whitman         13-10       3    -3    +++    6.55
   521 A Penn Yan Academy        6-19     -13   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H East Irondequoit        8- 3       5    13    --    -5.00
   515 A Geneva                  7-10      -3     2    --    -5.49
   421 H Midlakes               11- 9       2     5    -     -3.31
   511 H Pittsford               9-10      -1     1    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Marcus Whitman         13-10       3    -3    +++    6.55
   503 H Newark, NY             10- 5       5     0    ++     4.23
   513 A Canandaigua Academy     9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.12
   405 A Palmyra-Macedon        11- 3       8     4    +      3.42
   505 H Canandaigua Academy     7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.28 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.74 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/