Region = MA West                
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   Brian Machia          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.6711197    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Minnechaug             MA West       (14- 4, 89.6)     3-11   
 402 A East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 0- 5, 72.4)    14- 7   
 405 H Agawam                 MA West       ( 4- 4, 83.4)     7-10   
 413 A Northampton            MA West       ( 3- 4, 84.3)     4-11   
 415 H East Longmeadow        MA West       ( 0- 5, 72.4)    11- 8   
 420 A Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 0- 5, 73.0)    14- 9   
 428 A West Springfield, MA   MA Indep      ( 0- 5, 73.2)    10- 9   
 430 H Cathedral, MA          MA West       ( 0- 2, 75.0)     8- 7   
 504 H Westfield, MA          MA West       ( 2- 3, 81.6)     2- 6   
 508 A Minnechaug             MA West       (14- 4, 89.6)     5-17   
 511 A Agawam                 MA West       ( 4- 4, 83.4)    11-16   
 512 A Minnechaug             MA West       (14- 4, 89.6)     5-17   
 514 H Amherst-Pelham         MA West       ( 0- 5, 73.0)    11-10   
 518 A Cathedral, MA          MA West       ( 0- 2, 75.0)    11-11   
 521 A Westfield, MA          MA West       ( 2- 3, 81.6)     6-11   
 525 A Longmeadow             MA West       (20- 0, 99.9)     0-12   
 527 H West Springfield, MA   MA Indep      ( 0- 5, 73.2)    16- 9   
 607 A Northampton            MA West       ( 3- 4, 84.3)     8-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Minnechaug              3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   402 A East Longmeadow        14- 7       7     5           1.76
   405 H Agawam                  7-10      -3    -3           0.90
   413 A Northampton             4-11      -7    -6          -0.30
   415 H East Longmeadow        11- 8       3     7    --    -4.09
   420 A Amherst-Pelham         14- 9       5     4           0.37
   428 A West Springfield, MA   10- 9       1     4    -     -3.45
   430 H Cathedral, MA           8- 7       1     4    -     -3.49
   504 H Westfield, MA           2- 6      -4    -2          -1.88
   508 A Minnechaug              5-17     -12   -12           0.00
   511 A Agawam                 11-16      -5    -5           0.74
   512 A Minnechaug              5-17     -12   -12           0.00
   514 H Amherst-Pelham         11-10       1     6    --    -5.48
   518 A Cathedral, MA          11-11       0     2    -     -2.64
   521 A Westfield, MA           6-11      -5    -3          -1.04
   525 A Longmeadow              0-12     -12   -22           0.00
   527 H West Springfield, MA   16- 9       7     6           0.70
   607 A Northampton             8-18     -10    -6    -     -3.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H East Longmeadow        11- 8       3     7    --    -4.09
   514 H Amherst-Pelham         11-10       1     6    --    -5.48
   428 A West Springfield, MA   10- 9       1     4    -     -3.45
   430 H Cathedral, MA           8- 7       1     4    -     -3.49
   518 A Cathedral, MA          11-11       0     2    -     -2.64
   607 A Northampton             8-18     -10    -6    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Minnechaug              3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.54 Local Power Rank...........    43
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.70 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    84
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    83
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    63
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/