Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Alan Ringlund         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.1577148    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 87.9)     5-17   
 407 H New Hartford Club      NY B  Sec 3   ( 1-11, 64.8)    18-10   
 410 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 90.2)     2-15   
 412 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 80.1)    11-16   
 414 H Fulton                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-12, 77.4)     9- 8   
 416 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (16- 4, 94.4)     4-19   
 417 H Chittenango            NY B  Sec 3   ( 3-14, 71.3)    16-12   
 419 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 6, 91.8)     7-16   
 421 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 67.5)    20- 9   
 423 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-10, 76.0)    15- 6   
 427 A East Syracuse-Minoa    NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 83.3)     5-18   
 430 H Mt. Anthony Union      VT DI         ( 6-10, 79.1)    18- 5   
 505 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 80.5)     9-14   
 507 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (19- 2, 96.7)     4-17   
 508 H South Jefferson        NY B  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 75.9)    20- 6   
 511 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (21- 2, 99.9)     5-19   
 513 A Henninger-Nottingham   NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-10, 84.6)     7-18   
 520 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 80.1)    11-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Guilderland             5-17     -12   -11          n/a  
   407 H New Hartford Club      18-10       8    13    -     -2.00
   410 H Cicero-North Syracuse   2-15     -13   -11           0.00
   412 A Corcoran-Fowler        11-16      -5    -3          -1.66
   414 H Fulton                  9- 8       1     0           0.06
   416 A West Genesee            4-19     -15   -17           0.00
   417 H Chittenango            16-12       4     7    -     -3.05
   419 H Baldwinsville           7-16      -9   -13           1.00
   421 A Central Square         20- 9      11     9           0.74
   423 H Auburn                 15- 6       9     2    +++    6.68
   427 A East Syracuse-Minoa     5-18     -13    -6    -     -3.53
   430 H Mt. Anthony Union      18- 5      13     0          n/a  
   505 A Oswego                  9-14      -5    -3          -1.33
   507 H Liverpool               4-17     -13   -18           0.00
   508 H South Jefferson        20- 6      14     2    +++    7.51
   511 H Fayetteville-Manlius    5-19     -14   -21           0.00
   513 A Henninger-Nottingham    7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.19
   520 A Corcoran-Fowler        11-23     -12    -3    ---   -6.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Corcoran-Fowler        11-23     -12    -3    ---   -6.66
   407 H New Hartford Club      18-10       8    13    -     -2.00
   417 H Chittenango            16-12       4     7    -     -3.05
   427 A East Syracuse-Minoa     5-18     -13    -6    -     -3.53
   513 A Henninger-Nottingham    7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Auburn                 15- 6       9     2    +++    6.68
   430 H Mt. Anthony Union      18- 5      13     0    +++        
   508 H South Jefferson        20- 6      14     2    +++    7.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.58 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.02 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.3
/