Reservoir                     0 -10


 
                                     Region = MD 2A                  
   Nickname = D 'Gators              Coach  =   Kelly Berkle          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   71.6002197    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Long Reach             MD 3A         ( 2-10, 62.7)     3- 7   
 413 A Oakland Mills          MD 1A         ( 0-12, 54.3)   
 420 A Wilde Lake             MD 3A         ( 6- 7, 71.3)    10-13   
 427 A Mt. Hebron             MD 3A         (18- 0, 99.9)     1-27   
 429 H Atholton               MD 2A         ( 8- 7, 74.0)    10-16   
 430 H St. Vincent Pallotti   MD IAAM B     ( 3-13, 71.8)   
 503 H Hammond                MD 2A         ( 6- 7, 73.0)     4-12   
 504 A Centennial, MD         MD 3A         (10- 6, 80.6)     1-16   
 507 A Howard                 MD 2A         ( 8- 8, 70.8)     6- 9   
 510 H Glenelg HS             MD 2A         (10- 5, 82.9)     4-17   
 511 H River Hill             MD 3A         ( 9- 4, 80.9)     4-15   
 515 A Atholton               MD 2A         ( 8- 7, 74.0)     5-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Long Reach              3- 7      -4     0    -     -3.37
   420 A Wilde Lake             10-13      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   427 A Mt. Hebron              1-27     -26   -40           0.00
   429 H Atholton               10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   503 H Hammond                 4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
   504 A Centennial, MD          1-16     -15   -20           0.00
   507 A Howard                  6- 9      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   510 H Glenelg HS              4-17     -13   -20           0.00
   511 H River Hill              4-15     -11   -18           0.00
   515 A Atholton                5-17     -12   -14           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Long Reach              3- 7      -4     0    -     -3.37


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Wilde Lake             10-13      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   507 A Howard                  6- 9      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   429 H Atholton               10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   503 H Hammond                 4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 60.88 Local Power Rank...........    80
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.53 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    97
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    89
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   106
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -10.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -26.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -26.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.0


  
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