Monticello                    1 - 9


 
                                     Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Sara Scavone          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.8840637    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Tandem Friends School  VA LIS        ( 0- 1, 70.1)   
 317 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 8, 89.1)     4-10   
 325 A Liberty-Beal, VA       VA NW AA      ( 4- 5, 82.5)    16- 1   
 405 H Covenant School        VA Indep      ( 2- 4, 81.6)     6- 8   
 416 H Charlottesville        VA NW AA      (11- 5, 94.3)     2- 5   
 421 A St. Catherine's School VA LIS        (11- 5, 93.7)     4-15   
 423 H Western Albermarle     VA NW AA      ( 1- 9, 86.0)   
 429 H St. Anne's-Belfield    VA LIS        (19- 0, 99.9)     2-19   
 510 H Fauquier               VA NW AA      (10- 5, 89.9)    11-17   
 512 H Albermarle             VA NW AAA     ( 7- 8, 85.9)     5-11   
 521 A Charlottesville        VA NW AA      (11- 5, 94.3)     4-13   
 524 A Fauquier               VA NW AA      (10- 5, 89.9)     9-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Rockbridge County       4-10      -6    -8    +      2.70
   325 A Liberty-Beal, VA       16- 1      15    -2    +++   12.14
   405 H Covenant School         6- 8      -2     1          n/a  
   416 H Charlottesville         2- 5      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   421 A St. Catherine's School  4-15     -11   -13          n/a  
   429 H St. Anne's-Belfield     2-19     -17   -16          n/a  
   510 H Fauquier               11-17      -6    -6           0.85
   512 H Albermarle              5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.11
   521 A Charlottesville         4-13      -9   -13           1.00
   524 A Fauquier                9-11      -2    -9    +++    7.46


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Covenant School         6- 8      -2     1    -          
   512 H Albermarle              5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.11


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Liberty-Beal, VA       16- 1      15    -2    +++   12.14
   416 H Charlottesville         2- 5      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   524 A Fauquier                9-11      -2    -9    +++    7.46
   317 A Rockbridge County       4-10      -6    -8    +      2.70




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.70 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.57 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7


  
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