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Region = CT Div 2 Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Cori DistlerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.2668381 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 408 A New Fairfield CT Div 2 (12- 6, 86.2) 9- 6 415 H Notre Dame Catholic CT Div 2 ( 1-12, 67.8) 16- 3 420 H St. Joseph, CT CT Div 2 ( 7-10, 81.2) 6- 4 422 A Danbury CT Div 2 ( 4-12, 75.2) 12- 6 427 A Laurelton Hall CT Div 2 ( 1-14, 67.2) 9- 4 429 A Ridgefield CT Div 2 (12- 7, 85.4) 7- 4 430 A Avon CT Div 1 (11- 8, 84.6) 7-15 505 H Newtown CT Div 1 (11- 5, 87.7) 9-10 506 A Masuk CT Div 2 (14- 5, 86.9) 9- 8 511 H New Milford CT Div 2 (10- 5, 84.5) 8- 9 513 H Pomperaug CT Div 2 ( 1-12, 67.1) 17- 1 515 H Amity CT Div 2 ( 5-11, 80.1) 15- 9 517 H Staples CT Div 2 ( 1-12, 71.7) 12- 8 518 H Fairfield CT Div 1 (11- 5, 88.6) 11-12 520 A Brookfield CT Div 2 ( 7- 8, 80.6) 14- 7 525 H New Fairfield CT Div 2 (12- 6, 86.2) 9- 8 527 N Newtown CT Div 1 (11- 5, 87.7) 13-12 528 H Hamden CT Div 1 ( 5-10, 76.5) 13- 6 607 H Stonington CT Div 2 ( 9- 7, 76.2) 18- 8 609 A Lyme-Old Lyme CT Div 2 (11- 3, 83.6) 12- 7 610 N Ridgefield CT Div 2 (12- 7, 85.4) 9- 6 612 N Masuk CT Div 2 (14- 5, 86.9) 8- 4PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A New Fairfield 9- 6 3 0 + 2.80 415 H Notre Dame Catholic 16- 3 13 21 0.00 420 H St. Joseph, CT 6- 4 2 8 --- -6.30 422 A Danbury 12- 6 6 11 -- -4.00 427 A Laurelton Hall 9- 4 5 19 -- -5.00 429 A Ridgefield 7- 4 3 1 1.99 430 A Avon 7-15 -8 1 --- -9.83 505 H Newtown 9-10 -1 1 - -2.75 506 A Masuk 9- 8 1 0 1.53 511 H New Milford 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.01 513 H Pomperaug 17- 1 16 22 0.00 515 H Amity 15- 9 6 9 - -3.40 517 H Staples 12- 8 4 17 --- -6.00 518 H Fairfield 11-12 -1 0 -1.90 520 A Brookfield 14- 7 7 5 1.19 525 H New Fairfield 9- 8 1 3 - -2.28 527 N Newtown 13-12 1 0 0.78 528 H Hamden 13- 6 7 12 - -3.00 607 H Stonington 18- 8 10 13 0.00 609 A Lyme-Old Lyme 12- 7 5 2 + 2.24 610 N Ridgefield 9- 6 3 2 0.45 612 N Masuk 8- 4 4 1 + 2.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H St. Joseph, CT 6- 4 2 8 --- -6.30 430 A Avon 7-15 -8 1 --- -9.83 511 H New Milford 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.01 517 H Staples 12- 8 4 17 --- -6.00 422 A Danbury 12- 6 6 11 -- -4.00 427 A Laurelton Hall 9- 4 5 19 -- -5.00 505 H Newtown 9-10 -1 1 - -2.75 515 H Amity 15- 9 6 9 - -3.40 525 H New Fairfield 9- 8 1 3 - -2.28 528 H Hamden 13- 6 7 12 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A New Fairfield 9- 6 3 0 + 2.80 609 A Lyme-Old Lyme 12- 7 5 2 + 2.24 612 N Masuk 8- 4 4 1 + 2.99/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.93 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 59.45 Local SOS Rank............. 31 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 27 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0