Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Tom MacDonald         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.2880249    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Watertown              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 84.1)    17- 4   
 331 H Skaneateles            NY B  Sec 3   (19- 3, 97.2)     5-12   
 403 H East Syracuse-Minoa    NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 83.3)    14-10   
 407 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 90.2)     5- 9   
 414 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 67.5)    19- 5   
 416 A Fulton                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-12, 77.4)     7- 5   
 421 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 80.1)    15-10   
 424 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 87.9)     8- 7   
 427 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 6, 91.8)     8- 9   
 429 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (19- 2, 96.7)     3-13   
 501 A East Rochester         NY B  Sec 5   (17- 2, 97.7)     6-11   
 504 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (16- 4, 94.4)     5-13   
 507 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 80.5)    13-14   
 510 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-10, 76.0)    21-10   
 513 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 77.6)    18- 7   
 515 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 90.2)     1-13   
 518 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (21- 2, 99.9)     1-15   
 522 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (16- 4, 94.4)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Watertown              17- 4      13     1    +++    8.69
   331 H Skaneateles             5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   403 H East Syracuse-Minoa    14-10       4     2           1.88
   407 H Cicero-North Syracuse   5- 9      -4    -4           0.85
   414 H Central Square         19- 5      14    17           0.00
   416 A Fulton                  7- 5       2     6    --    -4.41
   421 A Corcoran-Fowler        15-10       5     3           1.31
   424 H Guilderland             8- 7       1    -2          n/a  
   427 A Baldwinsville           8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.02
   429 H Liverpool               3-13     -10   -11           0.00
   501 A East Rochester          6-11      -5   -14          n/a  
   504 A West Genesee            5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   507 A Oswego                 13-14      -1     3    --    -4.36
   510 A Auburn                 21-10      11     7    +      2.21
   513 H Rome Free Academy      18- 7      11     7    +      2.19
   515 A Cicero-North Syracuse   1-13     -12    -6    -     -3.59
   518 H Fayetteville-Manlius    1-15     -14   -14           0.00
   522 A West Genesee            7- 9      -2   -10    +++    8.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Fulton                  7- 5       2     6    --    -4.41
   507 A Oswego                 13-14      -1     3    --    -4.36
   515 A Cicero-North Syracuse   1-13     -12    -6    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Watertown              17- 4      13     1    +++    8.69
   427 A Baldwinsville           8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.02
   522 A West Genesee            7- 9      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   501 A East Rochester          6-11      -5   -14    ++         
   331 H Skaneateles             5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   424 H Guilderland             8- 7       1    -2    +          
   504 A West Genesee            5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   510 A Auburn                 21-10      11     7    +      2.21
   513 H Rome Free Academy      18- 7      11     7    +      2.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.61 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.11 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
/