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Region = VA Pat Nickname = A Hawks Coach = Sabrina YarieGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.4578400 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 315 H Mt. Vernon VA Natl (10- 3, 90.2) 12- 7 319 A McLean, VA VA Lbrty ( 4- 6, 84.5) 6- 4 323 A Thomas Alva Edison VA Natl ( 9- 5, 88.2) 6- 4 325 H George C. Marshall VA Lbrty ( 4- 7, 79.4) 11- 3 329 H West Springfield, VA VA Pat (10- 5, 92.3) 4- 7 416 H Washington-Lee VA Natl ( 4-10, 75.1) 18- 3 420 A Annandale VA Pat ( 7- 8, 87.2) 7- 8 422 H West Potomac VA Pat ( 4- 7, 80.9) 12-13 430 H J.W. Robinson VA Pat (11- 5, 95.8) 5- 9 504 A Lake Braddock VA Pat ( 8- 6, 91.5) 10- 8 506 A T.C. Williams VA Pat ( 3- 8, 77.9) 10- 3 512 A Annandale VA Pat ( 7- 8, 87.2) 14- 3 514 A West Springfield, VA VA Pat (10- 5, 92.3) 6- 5 518 A J.W. Robinson VA Pat (11- 5, 95.8) 5-12 520 H Chantilly VA Cncrd (12- 3, 97.8) 4-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H Mt. Vernon 12- 7 5 1 + 3.38 319 A McLean, VA 6- 4 2 4 - -2.74 323 A Thomas Alva Edison 6- 4 2 1 0.93 325 H George C. Marshall 11- 3 8 12 - -2.00 329 H West Springfield, VA 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.56 416 H Washington-Lee 18- 3 15 16 0.00 420 A Annandale 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.07 422 H West Potomac 12-13 -1 10 --- -11.00 430 H J.W. Robinson 5- 9 -4 -3 -0.04 504 A Lake Braddock 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.27 506 A T.C. Williams 10- 3 7 11 - -3.00 512 A Annandale 14- 3 11 2 +++ 7.93 514 A West Springfield, VA 6- 5 1 -3 ++ 4.04 518 A J.W. Robinson 5-12 -7 -6 -0.44 520 H Chantilly 4-12 -8 -6 -1.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H West Potomac 12-13 -1 10 --- -11.00 319 A McLean, VA 6- 4 2 4 - -2.74 325 H George C. Marshall 11- 3 8 12 - -2.00 329 H West Springfield, VA 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.56 420 A Annandale 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.07 506 A T.C. Williams 10- 3 7 11 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Annandale 14- 3 11 2 +++ 7.93 504 A Lake Braddock 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.27 514 A West Springfield, VA 6- 5 1 -3 ++ 4.04 315 H Mt. Vernon 12- 7 5 1 + 3.38/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.53 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 72.88 Local SOS Rank............. 14 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 16 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 11 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7