Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Flying Dutchme       Coach  =   Gary Chatnik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4697876    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 77.6)    17- 5   
 406 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 81.5)    13- 9   
 408 A Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   (13- 4, 90.1)     4- 7   
 412 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 80.7)    14- 4   
 416 N Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 86.3)    14- 7   
 420 H Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   (13- 4, 90.1)     3- 4   
 422 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (10- 4, 81.2)    13- 3   
 424 A Henninger-Nottingham   NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-10, 84.6)     7- 8   
 427 H Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-13, 69.9)    18- 1   
 429 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-10, 81.5)    15- 6   
 430 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (18- 1, 99.9)     6-16   
 501 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (19- 2, 96.7)     9-17   
 504 H Averill Park           NY A  Sec 2   ( 3-11, 68.9)    15- 0   
 506 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 74.6)     8- 4   
 508 A Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   ( 7-11, 80.2)    17- 5   
 513 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (18- 1, 99.9)     4-15   
 514 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 80.7)    10- 8   
 515 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 6, 91.8)    14-13   
 518 H Queensbury             NY A  Sec 2   ( 4- 7, 65.0)    20- 4   
 520 N Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   (13- 4, 90.1)     3- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Rome Free Academy      17- 5      12    11          n/a  
   406 H Shenendehowa           13- 9       4     7    -     -3.83
   408 A Saratoga Springs        4- 7      -3    -3           0.67
   412 H Shaker                 14- 4      10     8           1.32
   416 N Union-Endicott         14- 7       7     1          n/a  
   420 H Saratoga Springs        3- 4      -1     0          -0.23
   422 A Niskayuna              13- 3      10     5    ++     4.73
   424 A Henninger-Nottingham    7- 8      -1     2          n/a  
   427 H Columbia, NY           18- 1      17    19           0.00
   429 A Shenendehowa           15- 6       9     4    ++     4.07
   430 A Bethlehem               6-16     -10   -13           0.00
   501 A Liverpool               9-17      -8    -9          n/a  
   504 H Averill Park           15- 0      15    20           0.00
   506 A Colonie                 8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   508 A Binghamton             17- 5      12     6          n/a  
   513 H Bethlehem               4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   514 A Shaker                 10- 8       2     5    -     -3.78
   515 H Baldwinsville          14-13       1    -2          n/a  
   518 H Queensbury             20- 4      16    24           0.00
   520 N Saratoga Springs        3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Colonie                 8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   406 H Shenendehowa           13- 9       4     7    -     -3.83
   424 A Henninger-Nottingham    7- 8      -1     2    -          
   514 A Shaker                 10- 8       2     5    -     -3.78
   520 N Saratoga Springs        3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 N Union-Endicott         14- 7       7     1    ++         
   422 A Niskayuna              13- 3      10     5    ++     4.73
   429 A Shenendehowa           15- 6       9     4    ++     4.07
   508 A Binghamton             17- 5      12     6    +          
   515 H Baldwinsville          14-13       1    -2    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.92 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.41 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/