Conf =  A2                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Missy Barnes          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8770599    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Jordan-Elbridge        NY B  Sec 3   (15- 4, 87.6)     6-14   
 412 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (21- 2, 99.9)     1-15   
 414 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 77.6)     8- 9   
 416 H Henninger-Nottingham   NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-10, 84.6)     5- 7   
 420 A LaFayette, NY          NY B  Sec 3   ( 4- 9, 75.7)    11- 4   
 421 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 6, 91.8)     5-17   
 423 H Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 80.1)     8- 6   
 424 A LaFayette, NY          NY B  Sec 3   ( 4- 9, 75.7)   
 426 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-10, 76.0)     7-10   
 429 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (16- 4, 94.4)     2-14   
 430 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-10, 76.0)    10-11   
 504 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 90.2)     4-14   
 506 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 67.5)    12- 2   
 510 A Chittenango            NY B  Sec 3   ( 3-14, 71.3)    12- 4   
 511 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (19- 2, 96.7)     4-17   
 513 H East Syracuse-Minoa    NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 83.3)     6- 8   
 515 A Watertown              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 84.1)    12- 9   
 517 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 80.5)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Jordan-Elbridge         6-14      -8    -9           1.37
   412 A Fayetteville-Manlius    1-15     -14   -23           0.00
   414 A Rome Free Academy       8- 9      -1     0          -0.06
   416 H Henninger-Nottingham    5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.41
   420 A LaFayette, NY          11- 4       7     0    +++    6.04
   421 A Baldwinsville           5-17     -12   -15           0.00
   423 H Corcoran-Fowler         8- 6       2    -1    +      3.94
   426 A Auburn                  7-10      -3     0    -     -3.59
   429 H West Genesee            2-14     -12   -16           0.00
   430 H Auburn                 10-11      -1     2    -     -3.16
   504 A Cicero-North Syracuse   4-14     -10   -13           0.00
   506 H Central Square         12- 2      10    10           0.00
   510 A Chittenango            12- 4       8     5    +      2.67
   511 A Liverpool               4-17     -13   -20           0.00
   513 H East Syracuse-Minoa     6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.07
   515 A Watertown              12- 9       3    -7    +++   10.45
   517 H Oswego                  4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Auburn                  7-10      -3     0    -     -3.59
   430 H Auburn                 10-11      -1     2    -     -3.16
   517 H Oswego                  4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A LaFayette, NY          11- 4       7     0    +++    6.04
   515 A Watertown              12- 9       3    -7    +++   10.45
   416 H Henninger-Nottingham    5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.41
   423 H Corcoran-Fowler         8- 6       2    -1    +      3.94
   510 A Chittenango            12- 4       8     5    +      2.67
   513 H East Syracuse-Minoa     6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.41 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.81 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/