Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Rebecca Loubert       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.5550003    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 9, 93.9)    14-13   
 419 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     5-15   
 421 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 89.2)     5- 7   
 423 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 88.4)    13- 1   
 427 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 4, 97.0)     5- 8   
 429 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 83.5)    13- 6   
 501 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 9, 93.9)     7-13   
 503 A Hamburg                NY A  Sec 6   (13- 2, 99.3)     4- 9   
 505 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 3, 99.9)     6-14   
 507 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 89.2)   
 511 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 88.4)     8-11   
 513 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 4, 97.0)     9-12   
 517 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 83.5)    11- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Clarence               14-13       1    -4    ++     5.74
   419 H Orchard Park            5-15     -10    -8          -1.68
   421 A Niagara-Wheatfield      5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.00
   423 H Williamsville North    13- 1      12     3    +++    6.85
   427 A Lancaster               5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.76
   429 H West Seneca West       13- 6       7     8          -1.10
   501 H Clarence                7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.64
   503 A Hamburg                 4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   505 A Orchard Park            6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   511 A Williamsville North     8-11      -3     0    -     -3.78
   513 H Lancaster               9-12      -3    -5    +      2.39
   517 A West Seneca West       11- 8       3     5    -     -2.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Niagara-Wheatfield      5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.00
   501 H Clarence                7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.64
   511 A Williamsville North     8-11      -3     0    -     -3.78
   517 A West Seneca West       11- 8       3     5    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Williamsville North    13- 1      12     3    +++    6.85
   330 A Clarence               14-13       1    -4    ++     5.74
   427 A Lancaster               5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.76
   503 A Hamburg                 4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   505 A Orchard Park            6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   513 H Lancaster               9-12      -3    -5    +      2.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.39 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.63 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/