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Region = VA NW AA Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Paul StuartGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.1922760 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 322 H Charlottesville VA NW AA (11- 5, 94.3) 4-14 417 H Western Albermarle VA NW AA ( 1- 9, 86.0) 4-12 419 H Stone Bridge VA Dulles (15- 2, 93.9) 8-10 423 N Liberty-Beal, VA VA NW AA ( 4- 5, 82.5) 15- 3 424 A Highland School VA LIS ( 5-10, 74.3) 13-12 429 A Dominion VA Dulles ( 0- 9, 64.1) 21- 3 503 H Broad Run VA Dulles ( 6- 3, 88.5) 15- 8 506 A Park View VA Dulles ( 1- 7, 74.4) 15- 4 510 A Monticello VA NW AA ( 1- 9, 81.7) 17-11 513 H Loudoun Valley VA Dulles ( 4- 2, 91.1) 13-15 515 A Heritage VA Dulles ( 3- 9, 78.1) 13-11 517 A Potomac Falls VA Dulles ( 5- 8, 79.0) 16- 5 522 A Rockbridge County VA NW AA ( 9- 8, 89.1) 16-15 524 H Monticello VA NW AA ( 1- 9, 81.7) 11- 9 527 N Rockbridge County VA NW AA ( 9- 8, 89.1) 7-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Charlottesville 4-14 -10 -3 --- -6.90 417 H Western Albermarle 4-12 -8 5 --- -13.14 419 H Stone Bridge 8-10 -2 -2 0.74 423 N Liberty-Beal, VA 15- 3 12 7 + 2.68 424 A Highland School 13-12 1 14 n/a 429 A Dominion 21- 3 18 24 0.00 503 H Broad Run 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.34 506 A Park View 15- 4 11 14 0.00 510 A Monticello 17-11 6 6 -0.85 513 H Loudoun Valley 13-15 -2 0 - -2.02 515 A Heritage 13-11 2 10 --- -8.00 517 A Potomac Falls 16- 5 11 9 0.48 522 A Rockbridge County 16-15 1 0 1.55 524 H Monticello 11- 9 2 9 --- -7.46 527 N Rockbridge County 7-17 -10 0 --- -10.75UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Charlottesville 4-14 -10 -3 --- -6.90 417 H Western Albermarle 4-12 -8 5 --- -13.14 424 A Highland School 13-12 1 14 --- 515 A Heritage 13-11 2 10 --- -8.00 524 H Monticello 11- 9 2 9 --- -7.46 527 N Rockbridge County 7-17 -10 0 --- -10.75 513 H Loudoun Valley 13-15 -2 0 - -2.02OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Broad Run 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.34 423 N Liberty-Beal, VA 15- 3 12 7 + 2.68/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.86 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 64.22 Local SOS Rank............. 31 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 21 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 10 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3