Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Paul Stuart           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.1922760    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Charlottesville        VA NW AA      (11- 5, 94.3)     4-14   
 417 H Western Albermarle     VA NW AA      ( 1- 9, 86.0)     4-12   
 419 H Stone Bridge           VA Dulles     (15- 2, 93.9)     8-10   
 423 N Liberty-Beal, VA       VA NW AA      ( 4- 5, 82.5)    15- 3   
 424 A Highland School        VA LIS        ( 5-10, 74.3)    13-12   
 429 A Dominion               VA Dulles     ( 0- 9, 64.1)    21- 3   
 503 H Broad Run              VA Dulles     ( 6- 3, 88.5)    15- 8   
 506 A Park View              VA Dulles     ( 1- 7, 74.4)    15- 4   
 510 A Monticello             VA NW AA      ( 1- 9, 81.7)    17-11   
 513 H Loudoun Valley         VA Dulles     ( 4- 2, 91.1)    13-15   
 515 A Heritage               VA Dulles     ( 3- 9, 78.1)    13-11   
 517 A Potomac Falls          VA Dulles     ( 5- 8, 79.0)    16- 5   
 522 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 8, 89.1)    16-15   
 524 H Monticello             VA NW AA      ( 1- 9, 81.7)    11- 9   
 527 N Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 8, 89.1)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Charlottesville         4-14     -10    -3    ---   -6.90
   417 H Western Albermarle      4-12      -8     5    ---  -13.14
   419 H Stone Bridge            8-10      -2    -2           0.74
   423 N Liberty-Beal, VA       15- 3      12     7    +      2.68
   424 A Highland School        13-12       1    14          n/a  
   429 A Dominion               21- 3      18    24           0.00
   503 H Broad Run              15- 8       7     2    ++     4.34
   506 A Park View              15- 4      11    14           0.00
   510 A Monticello             17-11       6     6          -0.85
   513 H Loudoun Valley         13-15      -2     0    -     -2.02
   515 A Heritage               13-11       2    10    ---   -8.00
   517 A Potomac Falls          16- 5      11     9           0.48
   522 A Rockbridge County      16-15       1     0           1.55
   524 H Monticello             11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.46
   527 N Rockbridge County       7-17     -10     0    ---  -10.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Charlottesville         4-14     -10    -3    ---   -6.90
   417 H Western Albermarle      4-12      -8     5    ---  -13.14
   424 A Highland School        13-12       1    14    ---        
   515 A Heritage               13-11       2    10    ---   -8.00
   524 H Monticello             11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.46
   527 N Rockbridge County       7-17     -10     0    ---  -10.75
   513 H Loudoun Valley         13-15      -2     0    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Broad Run              15- 8       7     2    ++     4.34
   423 N Liberty-Beal, VA       15- 3      12     7    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.86 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.22 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/