Conf =  MC                        Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Don Smith             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.5922012    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 82.6)     2-15   
 419 A East Rochester         NY B  Sec 5   (17- 2, 97.7)     1-19   
 420 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.1)     8-17   
 423 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 86.2)     3-12   
 424 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 83.3)     3- 8   
 426 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 74.8)     8-14   
 430 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (15- 3, 97.0)     3-20   
 501 A Midlakes               NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.9)     7-11   
 503 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 83.1)     9-13   
 505 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (15- 4, 90.5)     7-18   
 505 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.4)     7-15   
 507 A Brighton, NY           NY A  Sec 5   (19- 3, 98.4)     0-18   
 508 H Midlakes               NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 78.9)     5-10   
 510 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 76.0)    10-15   
 511 H Palmyra-Macedon        NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 8, 77.7)     7-11   
 512 A Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-15, 65.1)    14- 8   
 513 A Palmyra-Macedon        NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 8, 77.7)   
 517 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 86.2)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 N Pittsford               2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   419 A East Rochester          1-19     -18   -28           0.00
   420 A Penfield                8-17      -9   -17           1.00
   423 H Webster Thomas          3-12      -9   -14           1.00
   424 A Victor                  3- 8      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   426 H Spencerport             8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.52
   430 H Rush-Henrietta          3-20     -17   -25           0.00
   501 A Midlakes                7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.59
   503 H Fairport                9-13      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   505 H Irondequoit             7-18     -11   -19           0.00
   505 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7-15      -8    -9           1.09
   507 A Brighton, NY            0-18     -18   -29           0.00
   508 H Midlakes                5-10      -5    -7    +      2.65
   510 H Webster Schroeder      10-15      -5    -4          -0.28
   511 H Palmyra-Macedon         7-11      -4    -6    +      2.43
   512 A Brockport              14- 8       6     4           1.77
   517 A Webster Thomas          3-12      -9   -16           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Spencerport             8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Fairport                9-13      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   424 A Victor                  3- 8      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   501 A Midlakes                7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.59
   508 H Midlakes                5-10      -5    -7    +      2.65
   511 H Palmyra-Macedon         7-11      -4    -6    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.32 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.27 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-16 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/