Desert Vista                  5 - 6


 
                                     Region = AZ AYLL                
   Nickname = Z Thunder              Coach  =   A. Rhinehart          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   95.9719543    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Chaparral              AZ AYLL       (12- 4, 95.1)     5- 9   
 228 A Horizon                AZ AYLL       ( 8- 5, 93.0)     5- 7   
 306 H Pinnacle               AZ AYLL       ( 2- 8, 78.2)    13- 4   
 309 A Gilbert                AZ AYLL       (12- 2, 99.8)     2- 9   
 311 A South Eastern          AZ AYLL       ( 4- 7, 83.6)     4- 5   
 330 H Desert Mountain        AZ AYLL       ( 4- 8, 82.1)     5- 6   
 406 A Red Mountain           AZ AYLL       ( 2- 8, 74.2)    15- 2   
 413 H Phoenix Country Day    AZ AYLL       ( 6- 6, 87.8)    12- 6   
 414 A Xavior College Prep    AZ AYLL       (11- 2, 99.9)     9- 8   
 415 A Paradise Valley        AZ AYLL       ( 0-10, 69.8)     9- 4   
 417 A Chandler               AZ Indep      ( 2- 2, 86.5)  4
 419 A Horizon                AZ AYLL       ( 8- 5, 93.0)     5- 8   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Chaparral               5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.96
   228 A Horizon                 5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.81
   306 H Pinnacle               13- 4       9     9          -0.96
   309 A Gilbert                 2- 9      -7   -11    +      3.00
   311 A South Eastern           4- 5      -1     4    --    -5.50
   330 H Desert Mountain         5- 6      -1     6    ---   -7.03
   406 A Red Mountain           15- 2      13    13           0.00
   413 H Phoenix Country Day    12- 6       6     0    ++     5.59
   414 A Xavior College Prep     9- 8       1   -11    +++   11.00
   415 A Paradise Valley         9- 4       5    18    --    -5.00
   419 A Horizon                 5- 8      -3    -4           1.81


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Desert Mountain         5- 6      -1     6    ---   -7.03
   311 A South Eastern           4- 5      -1     4    --    -5.50
   415 A Paradise Valley         9- 4       5    18    --    -5.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Xavior College Prep     9- 8       1   -11    +++   11.00
   413 H Phoenix Country Day    12- 6       6     0    ++     5.59
   219 H Chaparral               5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.96
   228 A Horizon                 5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.81
   309 A Gilbert                 2- 9      -7   -11    +      3.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.15 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.16 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0


  
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