Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Amy Lamitie           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.4475327    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 86.3)     3-16   
 329 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (12- 8, 90.5)     3-19   
 401 H Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 3-14, 74.8)    10- 3   
 403 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (15- 6, 93.4)     4-11   
 407 H Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 80.0)     6-10   
 413 H Maine-Endwell          NY B  Sec 4   (12- 5, 91.1)     8-11   
 420 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 86.3)     2-15   
 422 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (12- 8, 90.5)     5-18   
 428 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (15- 6, 93.4)     4-16   
 501 H Mt. Anthony Union      VT DI         ( 6-10, 79.1)    12- 7   
 503 H Johnson City           NY B  Sec 4   ( 6-13, 78.0)    11- 6   
 505 A Owego Free Academy     NY B  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 80.1)    13-12   
 507 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 3-14, 74.8)     8- 5   
 508 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 87.9)     5-17   
 511 H Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (19- 1, 99.9)     4-15   
 512 A Chenango Forks         NY B  Sec 4   ( 0-15, 68.5)    14- 6   
 518 H Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 3-14, 74.8)    11- 7   
 520 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (15- 6, 93.4)     2-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Union-Endicott          3-16     -13    -6    -     -3.88
   329 H Ithaca                  3-19     -16   -10           0.00
   401 H Vestal                 10- 3       7     5           1.61
   403 A Horseheads              4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   407 H Corning West            6-10      -4     0    --    -4.18
   413 H Maine-Endwell           8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   420 H Union-Endicott          2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.90
   422 A Ithaca                  5-18     -13   -10           0.00
   428 H Horseheads              4-16     -12   -13           0.00
   501 H Mt. Anthony Union      12- 7       5     1          n/a  
   503 H Johnson City           11- 6       5     2    +      2.76
   505 A Owego Free Academy     13-12       1     0           0.90
   507 A Vestal                  8- 5       3     5    -     -2.37
   508 H Guilderland             5-17     -12    -6          n/a  
   511 H Corning East            4-15     -11   -19           0.00
   512 A Chenango Forks         14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   518 H Vestal                 11- 7       4     5          -1.39
   520 A Horseheads              2-13     -11   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Corning West            6-10      -4     0    --    -4.18
   325 A Union-Endicott          3-16     -13    -6    -     -3.88
   420 H Union-Endicott          2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.90
   507 A Vestal                  8- 5       3     5    -     -2.37
   508 H Guilderland             5-17     -12    -6    -          
   512 A Chenango Forks         14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Maine-Endwell           8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   403 A Horseheads              4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   501 H Mt. Anthony Union      12- 7       5     1    +          
   503 H Johnson City           11- 6       5     2    +      2.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.20 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.06 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/