Region = VA NW AAA              
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Jackie Hartley        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7952118    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 N Oakton                 VA Cncrd      (14- 2, 97.5)     6-12   
 319 N Bishop O'Connell       DC WCAC       ( 7-10, 81.1)     7-12   
 320 A Annandale              VA Pat        ( 7- 8, 87.2)    11-10   
 320 A Annandale              VA Pat        ( 7- 8, 87.2)     7-12   
 320 N C.D. Hylton            VA NW AAA     ( 2- 8, 71.5)    15- 1   
 331 A Charlottesville        VA NW AA      (11- 5, 94.3)     8-11   
 416 H Marcellus              NY B  Sec 3   ( 9- 7, 83.1)     7-17   
 420 H Charlottesville        VA NW AA      (11- 5, 94.3)     9- 8 2o
 421 H Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 8, 89.1)     7- 6   
 423 A Collegiate School      VA LIS        (13- 4, 95.9)     8-15   
 427 A Western Albermarle     VA NW AA      ( 1- 9, 86.0)   
 503 H Collegiate School      VA LIS        (13- 4, 95.9)     4-16   
 512 A Monticello             VA NW AA      ( 1- 9, 81.7)    11- 5   
 603 H Osbourn Park           VA NW AAA     (15- 4, 83.4)    14-12   
 605 H Forest Park            VA NW AAA     ( 8- 3, 81.7)    20- 4   
 612 N W.T. Woodson           VA Lbrty      (16- 3, 99.9)     4-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 N Oakton                  6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   319 N Bishop O'Connell        7-12      -5     4          n/a  
   320 A Annandale              11-10       1    -2    +      3.57
   320 A Annandale               7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.43
   320 N C.D. Hylton            15- 1      14    14           0.00
   331 A Charlottesville         8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.67
   416 H Marcellus               7-17     -10     3          n/a  
   420 H Charlottesville         9- 8 2o    1    -7    +++    8.06
   421 H Rockbridge County       7- 6       1    -1    +      2.91
   423 A Collegiate School       8-15      -7   -11          n/a  
   503 H Collegiate School       4-16     -12    -8          n/a  
   512 A Monticello             11- 5       6     2    +      3.11
   603 H Osbourn Park           14-12       2     3          -1.77
   605 H Forest Park            20- 4      16     5    ++     4.50
   612 N W.T. Woodson            4-21     -17   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 N Bishop O'Connell        7-12      -5     4    ---        
   416 H Marcellus               7-17     -10     3    ---        
   320 A Annandale               7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Charlottesville         8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.67
   420 H Charlottesville         9- 8 2o    1    -7    +++    8.06
   319 N Oakton                  6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   605 H Forest Park            20- 4      16     5    ++     4.50
   320 A Annandale              11-10       1    -2    +      3.57
   421 H Rockbridge County       7- 6       1    -1    +      2.91
   423 A Collegiate School       8-15      -7   -11    +          
   512 A Monticello             11- 5       6     2    +      3.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.89 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.19 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/