: Probability Maryland Girl's HS

            UPDATED: 09-14-25 08:59 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Manchester Valley 19 0 26.00
2 St Pauls SG 10 4 11.50
3 McDonogh School 12 2 10.50
4 Maryvale Prep 12 4 9.00
5 Good Counsel 9 1 6.50
6 Stone Ridge School 8 1 6.00
7 Glenelg HS 16 4 4.00
8 Archbishop Spalding 12 5 3.00
9 John Carroll 6 7 3.00
10 Severn School 8 6 2.50
11 Notre Dame Prep 7 7 2.00
12 St Marys 9 8 2.00
13 Severna Park 18 2 2.00
14 Broadneck 14 2 1.50
15 Bryn Mawr SG 6 8 0.00
16 Mercy 12 2 0.00
17 St Johns College 7 5 0.00
18 Century 12 5 0.00
19 Marriotts Ridge 14 4 0.00
20 South Carroll 16 3 0.00
21 Towson 13 4 0.00
22 Georgetown Visitation 4 6 0.00
23 Gerstell Academy 11 4 0.00
24 Mount de Sales 9 5 0.00
25 Roland Park Country 7 7 0.00
26 Dulaney 11 5 0.00
27 South River 10 4 0.00
28 Westminster 8 8 0.00
29 Annapolis Area Christian 9 2 0.00
30 Anne Arundel County 1 3 0.00
31 Beth TFiloh 6 4 0.00
32 Bishop McNamara 4 12 0.00
33 Brookewood SG 3 4 0.00
34 Bullis School 5 2 0.00
35 Calverton School 1 6 0.00
36 Catholic High Baltimore 7 3 0.00
37 Chapelgate Christian 6 6 0.00
38 Concordia Prep 5 7 0.00
39 Elizabeth Seton 5 7 0.00
40 FCA 12 4 0.00
41 Field School 6 3 0.00
42 Friends School 2 8 0.00
43 Garrison Forest 4 11 0.00
44 Georgetown Day School 3 7 0.00
45 Glenelg Country School 3 11 0.00
46 Gunston Day School 5 5 0.00
47 Holton-Arms School 6 3 0.00
48 Holy Child 5 6 0.00
49 Holy Cross 5 6 0.00
50 Indian Creek 3 8 0.00
51 Jackson-Reed 2 3 0.00
52 Key School 4 5 0.00
53 Maret School 4 5 0.00
54 National Cathedral 4 6 0.00
55 Park School 6 6 0.00
56 Rockbridge Academy 5 5 0.00
57 Salisbury School 5 5 0.00
58 Sidwell Friends 8 6 0.00
59 St Andrews Episcopal 5 3 0.00
60 St James School 6 4 0.00
61 St Johns Catholic Prep 1 10 0.00
62 St Marys Ryken 3 4 0.00
63 St Timothys 6 4 0.00
64 Sts Peter & Paul 7 7 0.00
65 Tome School 4 4 0.00
66 Worcester Prep 1 8 0.00
67 Aberdeen 4 9 0.00
68 Academy for College & Ca 4 3 0.00
69 Annapolis 8 7 0.00
70 Arundel 6 7 0.00
71 Atholton 5 10 0.00
72 Baltimore Polytechnic 10 2 0.00
73 Bel Air 11 5 0.00
74 Bethesda-Chevy Chase 9 5 0.00
75 Bladensburg 2 9 0.00
76 Blair 8 7 0.00
77 Blake 3 10 0.00
78 Bohemia Manor 2 8 0.00
79 Boonsboro 10 4 0.00
80 Bowie 9 4 0.00
81 Brunswick 3 11 0.00
82 Calvert 8 5 0.00
83 Cambridge SD 2 9 0.00
84 Carver A&T 6 6 0.00
85 Catoctin 7 5 0.00
86 Catonsville 7 7 0.00
87 Centennial 9 5 0.00
88 CH Flowers 8 4 0.00
89 Chesapeake AA 9 4 0.00
90 Chesapeake BC 5 4 0.00
91 Chopticon 8 5 0.00
92 City College 6 4 0.00
93 Clarksburg 4 10 0.00
94 CM Wright 11 5 0.00
95 CMIT North 10 3 0.00
96 Crofton 7 8 0.00
97 Damascus 12 3 0.00
98 Dr Henry Wise 2 10 0.00
99 Dundalk 1 9 0.00
100 DuVal 6 6 0.00
101 Eastern Technical 10 3 0.00
102 Easton 10 3 0.00
103 Edgewood 2 10 0.00
104 Einstein 8 5 0.00
105 Eleanor Roosevelt 11 2 0.00
106 Elkton 3 8 0.00
107 Fairmont Heights 4 8 0.00
108 Fallston 11 6 0.00
109 Francis Scott Key 3 11 0.00
110 Franklin 7 6 0.00
111 Frederick 3 10 0.00
112 Frederick Douglass PG 4 7 0.00
113 Glen Burnie 4 9 0.00
114 Gov Thomas Johnson 6 7 0.00
115 Great Mills 4 10 0.00
116 Guilford Park 3 10 0.00
117 Gwynn Park 3 8 0.00
118 Hammond 3 10 0.00
119 Harford Tech 8 4 0.00
120 Havre De Grace 10 4 0.00
121 Hereford 4 10 0.00
122 Howard 9 4 0.00
123 Huntingtown 12 3 0.00
124 JM Bennett 8 6 0.00
125 Kennedy 2 12 0.00
126 Kent County 7 7 0.00
127 Kent Island 13 3 0.00
128 Kenwood 5 7 0.00
129 La Plata 9 3 0.00
130 Lackey 2 11 0.00
131 Lansdowne 4 6 0.00
132 Laurel 9 4 0.00
133 Leonardtown 12 3 0.00
134 Liberty 12 5 0.00
135 Linganore 8 6 0.00
136 Loch Raven 7 6 0.00
137 Long Reach 10 4 0.00
138 Magruder 10 4 0.00
139 Middletown 12 5 0.00
140 MJ McDonough 4 9 0.00
141 Mount Hebron 5 10 0.00
142 New Town 2 5 0.00
143 North Caroline 6 5 0.00
144 North County 4 9 0.00
145 North Dorchester 2 11 0.00
146 North East Cecil 2 9 0.00
147 North Harford 9 5 0.00
148 North Point 5 7 0.00
149 Northeast 5 8 0.00
150 Northern Calvert 12 2 0.00
151 Northwest 8 5 0.00
152 Northwood 4 9 0.00
153 Oakdale 9 5 0.00
154 Old Mill 3 10 0.00
155 Overlea 3 5 0.00
156 Owings Mills 3 7 0.00
157 Oxon Hill 7 5 0.00
158 Paint Branch 3 10 0.00
159 Parkdale 8 4 0.00
160 Parkside 4 8 0.00
161 Parkville 8 4 0.00
162 Patapsco 4 8 0.00
163 Patterson Mill 4 9 0.00
164 Patuxent 5 9 0.00
165 Perry Hall 7 8 0.00
166 Perryville 5 6 0.00
167 Pikesville 6 7 0.00
168 Poolesville 8 6 0.00
169 Queen Annes County 12 2 0.00
170 Quince Orchard 14 3 0.00
171 Reservoir 7 9 0.00
172 Richard Montgomery 9 6 0.00
173 Rising Sun 8 8 0.00
174 River Hill 8 6 0.00
175 Rockville 3 10 0.00
176 Seneca Valley 4 9 0.00
177 Severn Run 7 6 0.00
178 Sherwood 16 1 0.00
179 Smithsburg 1 11 0.00
180 Southern 7 9 0.00
181 Sparrows Point 6 7 0.00
182 Springbrook 7 8 0.00
183 St Charles 4 9 0.00
184 Stephen Decatur 8 5 0.00
185 Suitland 2 9 0.00
186 Tuscarora 6 5 0.00
187 Urbana 12 5 0.00
188 Walkersville 2 10 0.00
189 Walter Johnson 9 4 0.00
190 Watkins Mill 1 12 0.00
191 Western STES 3 8 0.00
192 Wheaton 6 7 0.00
193 Whitman 10 5 0.00
194 Wilde Lake 3 10 0.00
195 Winston Churchill 7 6 0.00
196 Winters Mill 8 9 0.00
197 Woodlawn 1 6 0.00
198 Wootton 9 6 0.00