UPDATED: 09-14-25 08:56 PDT

men Winters Mill 1
  
Winters Mill          
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 86.6477

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Oakdale ( 9- 5, 86.0) 8- 9 324 A Long Reach (10- 4, 80.6) 18- 6 327 H Manchester Valley (19- 0, 99.9) 0-20 401 A Westminster ( 8- 8, 90.4) 3- 7 404 A Francis Scott Key ( 3-11, 78.1) 12- 6 408 H Century (12- 5, 91.5) 5-12 410 H Liberty (12- 5, 91.4) 5-16 412 A Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 19- 5 412 A Reservoir ( 7- 9, 79.5) 12- 6 415 A South Carroll (16- 3, 92.1) 6-12 417 H Liberty (12- 5, 91.4) 8-17 422 H Centennial ( 9- 5, 89.1) 5- 6 428 H North Hagerstown ( 0-10, 64.0) 20- 0 430 H Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 15- 3 502 A Smithsburg ( 1-11, 69.4) 22- 2 507 H Walkersville ( 2-10, 75.6) 17- 2 509 A Manchester Valley (19- 0, 99.9) 4-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Oakdale                 8- 9      -1     0          -1.20
   324 A Long Reach             18- 6      12     6           0.00
   327 H Manchester Valley       0-20     -20   -13           0.00
   401 A Westminster             3- 7      -4    -4           0.17
   404 A Francis Scott Key      12- 6       6     8           0.00
   408 H Century                 5-12      -7    -4          -0.62
   410 H Liberty                 5-16     -11    -4          -0.73
   412 A Annapolis              19- 5      14     3    +      2.43
   412 A Reservoir              12- 6       6     7           0.00
   415 A South Carroll           6-12      -6    -6           0.00
   417 H Liberty                 8-17      -9    -4          -0.73
   422 H Centennial              5- 6      -1    -2           1.00
   428 H North Hagerstown       20- 0      20    23           0.00
   430 H Atholton               15- 3      12    11           0.00
   502 A Smithsburg             22- 2      20    17           0.00
   507 H Walkersville           17- 2      15    12           0.00
   509 A Manchester Valley       4-20     -16   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Annapolis              19- 5      14     3    +      2.43

Winters Mill Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Anne Arundel County Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Bishop McNamara Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Brookewood SG Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Catholic High Baltimore Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Chapelgate Christian Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Concordia Prep Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Cristo Rey Jesuit Winters Mill   Winters Mill
DC International Winters Mill   Winters Mill
EL Haynes Charter Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Elizabeth Seton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
FCA Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Field School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Friends School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Holy Child
Holy Cross Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Indian Creek Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Jackson-Reed Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Jemicy Winters Mill   Winters Mill
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
KIPP College Prep Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Maret School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Park School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Rockbridge Academy Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Sandy Spring Friends Winters Mill   Winters Mill
School Without Walls Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St Andrews Episcopal Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St James School Winters Mill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Winters Mill
St Johns Catholic Prep Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Tome School Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Washington Latin Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Worcester Prep Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Aberdeen Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Academy for College & Ca Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Annapolis Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Arundel Arundel tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Arundel
Atholton Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Baltimore Polytechnic Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Bladensburg Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Blair Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Blake Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Bohemia Manor Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Boonsboro Winters Mill tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Winters Mill
Bowie Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Winters Mill insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Winters Mill
Calvert Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Cambridge SD Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Carver A&T Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Catoctin Winters Mill tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Winters Mill
Catonsville Catonsville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial Centennial  
Central PG Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Century Century Century  
CH Flowers Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Chopticon Winters Mill   Winters Mill
City College Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Clarksburg Winters Mill   Winters Mill
CM Wright CM Wright tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) CM Wright
CMIT North Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Crofton Crofton tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Crofton
Damascus Winters Mill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winters Mill
Dr Henry Wise Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Dulaney Dulaney tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dulaney
Dundalk Winters Mill   Winters Mill
DuVal Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Eastern Technical Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Einstein Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Eleanor Roosevelt Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Elkton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Fairmont Heights Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Fallston
Francis Scott Key Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Franklin Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Frederick Winters Mill tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Winters Mill
Frederick Douglass PG Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Gaithersburg Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Glen Burnie Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Gov Thomas Johnson Winters Mill tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Winters Mill
Great Mills Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Guilford Park Winters Mill Winters Mill   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Gwynn Park Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Hammond Winters Mill Winters Mill   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Harford Tech Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Havre De Grace Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Hereford Winters Mill tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Winters Mill
Howard Howard tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Huntingtown
JM Bennett Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Kennedy Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Kent County Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Kent Island Kent Island tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kent Island
Kenwood Winters Mill   Winters Mill
La Plata Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Lackey Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Lansdowne Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Laurel Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Leonardtown Leonardtown tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty Liberty  
Linganore Linganore tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Linganore
Loch Raven Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Long Reach Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Magruder Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley  
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Meade Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winters Mill
Middletown Winters Mill insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Winters Mill
Milford Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
MJ McDonough Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Mount Hebron
New Town Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North Caroline Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North County Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North Dorchester Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North East Cecil Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North Hagerstown Winters Mill Winters Mill  
North Harford Winters Mill   Winters Mill
North Point Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Northeast Winters Mill Winters Mill   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Northwestern PG Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Northwood Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Oakdale Oakdale Oakdale  
Oakland Mills Winters Mill Winters Mill   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Old Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Overlea Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Owings Mills Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Oxon Hill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Paint Branch Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Parkdale Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Parkside Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Parkville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Patapsco Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Patterson Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Patuxent Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Perry Hall Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Perryville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Pikesville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Poolesville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Randallstown Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Randallstown Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Reservoir Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Richard Montgomery Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Rising Sun Winters Mill   Winters Mill
River Hill River Hill tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) River Hill
Rockville Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Seneca Valley Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Severn Run Winters Mill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Winters Mill
Severna Park Severna Park tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sherwood
Smithsburg Winters Mill Winters Mill  
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll  
South Hagerstown Winters Mill   Winters Mill
South River South River insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South River
Southern Winters Mill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Winters Mill
Sparrows Point Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Springbrook Winters Mill   Winters Mill
St Charles Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Stephen Decatur Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Suitland Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Thomas Stone Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Towson Towson Towson   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Tuscarora Winters Mill tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Winters Mill
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Urbana
Walkersville Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Walter Johnson Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Watkins Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Western Baltimore Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Western STES Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Westlake Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Westminster Westminster Westminster  
Wheaton Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Whitman Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Wicomico Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Wilde Lake Winters Mill Winters Mill   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Winston Churchill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Wootton Winters Mill   Winters Mill

PowerWise = 165


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Oakdale         ( 9- 5, 86.0)     8- 9      -13.91      24.01       0.45         0.70            -9.47
   0 A Long Reach      (10- 4, 80.6)    18- 6      -19.27      18.65       0.45         0.70            13.44
   0 H Manchester Val  (19- 0, 99.9)     0-20       -0.00      37.92      -0.45         0.70            -0.32
   0 A Westminster     ( 8- 8, 90.4)     3- 7       -9.53      28.39       0.45         0.70            -6.39
   0 A Francis Scott   ( 3-11, 78.1)    12- 6      -21.76      16.16       0.45         0.70            11.69
   0 H Century         (12- 5, 91.5)     5-12       -8.42      29.50      -0.45         0.70            -6.24
   0 H Liberty         (12- 5, 91.4)     5-16       -8.53      29.39      -0.45         0.70            -6.32
   0 A Annapolis       ( 8- 7, 83.6)    19- 5      -16.27      21.65       0.45         0.70            15.55
   0 A Reservoir       ( 7- 9, 79.5)    12- 6      -20.40      17.52       0.45         0.70            12.64
   0 A South Carroll   (16- 3, 92.1)     6-12       -7.79      30.13       0.45         0.70            -5.17
   0 H Liberty         (12- 5, 91.4)     8-17       -8.53      29.39      -0.45         0.70            -6.32
   0 H Centennial      ( 9- 5, 89.1)     5- 6      -10.81      27.11      -0.45         0.70            -7.92
   0 H North Hagersto  ( 0-10, 64.0)    20- 0      -35.94       1.98      -0.45         0.70             1.07
   0 H Atholton        ( 5-10, 76.2)    15- 3      -23.73      14.19      -0.45         0.70             9.67
   0 A Smithsburg      ( 1-11, 69.4)    22- 2      -30.51       7.41       0.45         0.70             5.53
   0 H Walkersville    ( 2-10, 75.6)    17- 2      -24.35      13.57      -0.45         0.70             9.24
   0 A Manchester Val  (19- 0, 99.9)     4-20       -0.00      37.92       0.45         0.70            -0.32
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        30.37

winning pts = 78.8367 losing points = -48.4651

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------