Winters Mill 
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 86.6477
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
321 A Oakdale ( 9- 5, 86.0) 8- 9
324 A Long Reach (10- 4, 80.6) 18- 6
327 H Manchester Valley (19- 0, 99.9) 0-20
401 A Westminster ( 8- 8, 90.4) 3- 7
404 A Francis Scott Key ( 3-11, 78.1) 12- 6
408 H Century (12- 5, 91.5) 5-12
410 H Liberty (12- 5, 91.4) 5-16
412 A Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 19- 5
412 A Reservoir ( 7- 9, 79.5) 12- 6
415 A South Carroll (16- 3, 92.1) 6-12
417 H Liberty (12- 5, 91.4) 8-17
422 H Centennial ( 9- 5, 89.1) 5- 6
428 H North Hagerstown ( 0-10, 64.0) 20- 0
430 H Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 15- 3
502 A Smithsburg ( 1-11, 69.4) 22- 2
507 H Walkersville ( 2-10, 75.6) 17- 2
509 A Manchester Valley (19- 0, 99.9) 4-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Oakdale 8- 9 -1 0 -1.20
324 A Long Reach 18- 6 12 6 0.00
327 H Manchester Valley 0-20 -20 -13 0.00
401 A Westminster 3- 7 -4 -4 0.17
404 A Francis Scott Key 12- 6 6 8 0.00
408 H Century 5-12 -7 -4 -0.62
410 H Liberty 5-16 -11 -4 -0.73
412 A Annapolis 19- 5 14 3 + 2.43
412 A Reservoir 12- 6 6 7 0.00
415 A South Carroll 6-12 -6 -6 0.00
417 H Liberty 8-17 -9 -4 -0.73
422 H Centennial 5- 6 -1 -2 1.00
428 H North Hagerstown 20- 0 20 23 0.00
430 H Atholton 15- 3 12 11 0.00
502 A Smithsburg 22- 2 20 17 0.00
507 H Walkersville 17- 2 15 12 0.00
509 A Manchester Valley 4-20 -16 -14 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 A Annapolis 19- 5 14 3 + 2.43
|
Winters Mill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Annapolis Area Christian |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Anne Arundel County |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
Beth TFiloh |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Bishop McNamara |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Brookewood SG |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Bryn Mawr SG |
Bryn Mawr SG |
|
 
| Bryn Mawr SG |
Bullis School |
Bullis School |
|
 
| Bullis School |
Calverton School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Catholic High Baltimore |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Chapelgate Christian |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Concordia Prep |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
DC International |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
EL Haynes Charter |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Elizabeth Seton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
FCA |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Field School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Friends School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Garrison Forest |
Garrison Forest |
|
 
| Garrison Forest |
Georgetown Day School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Georgetown Visitation |
Georgetown Visitation |
|
 
| Georgetown Visitation |
Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Gerstell Academy |
Glenelg Country School |
Glenelg Country School |
|
 
| Glenelg Country School |
Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
Gunston Day School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Holton-Arms School |
Holton-Arms School |
|
 
| Holton-Arms School |
Holy Child |
Holy Child |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Holy Child |
Holy Cross |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Indian Creek |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Jackson-Reed |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Jemicy |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
Key School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
KIPP College Prep |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Maret School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Maryvale Prep |
Maryvale Prep |
|
 
| Maryvale Prep |
McDonogh School |
McDonogh School |
|
 
| McDonogh School |
Mercy |
Mercy |
|
 
| Mercy |
Mount de Sales |
Mount de Sales |
|
 
| Mount de Sales |
National Cathedral |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Notre Dame Prep |
Notre Dame Prep |
|
 
| Notre Dame Prep |
Oldfields School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Park School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Rockbridge Academy |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Roland Park Country |
Roland Park Country |
|
 
| Roland Park Country |
Salisbury School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Sandy Spring Friends |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
School Without Walls |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
Sidwell Friends |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
St Andrews Episcopal |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
St James School |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Winters Mill |
St Johns Catholic Prep |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
St Johns College |
St Johns College |
|
 
| St Johns College |
St Marys |
St Marys |
|
 
| St Marys |
St Marys Ryken |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
St Pauls SG |
St Pauls SG |
|
 
| St Pauls SG |
St Timothys |
St Timothys |
|
 
| St Timothys |
St Vincent Pallotti |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Stone Ridge School |
Stone Ridge School |
|
 
| Stone Ridge School |
Sts Peter & Paul |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Tome School |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Washington Latin |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Worcester Prep |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Aberdeen |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Academy for College & Ca |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Annapolis |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
Arundel |
Arundel |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Arundel |
Atholton |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
Baltimore Polytechnic |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Bel Air |
Bel Air |
|
 
| Bel Air |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Bladensburg |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Blair |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Blake |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Bohemia Manor |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Boonsboro |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) |
Winters Mill |
Bowie |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
 
| Broadneck |
Brunswick |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Winters Mill |
Calvert |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Cambridge SD |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Carver A&T |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Catoctin |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) |
Winters Mill |
Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Catonsville |
Centennial |
Centennial |
Centennial |
 
| |
Central PG |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Century |
Century |
Century |
 
| |
CH Flowers |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake BC |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Chopticon |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
City College |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Clarksburg |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
CM Wright |
CMIT North |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Crofton |
Crofton |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Crofton |
Damascus |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Winters Mill |
Dr Henry Wise |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Dulaney |
Dundalk |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
DuVal |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Eastern Technical |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Easton |
Easton |
|
 
| Easton |
Edgewood |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Einstein |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Eleanor Roosevelt |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Elkton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Fairmont Heights |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Fallston |
Fallston |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Fallston |
Francis Scott Key |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
Franklin |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Frederick |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Winters Mill |
Frederick Douglass PG |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Gaithersburg |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Glen Burnie |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
Glenelg HS   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Gov Thomas Johnson |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Winters Mill |
Great Mills |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Guilford Park |
Winters Mill |
|
Winters Mill   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Gwynn Park |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Hammond |
Winters Mill |
|
Winters Mill   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Harford Tech |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Havre De Grace |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Hereford |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Winters Mill |
Howard |
Howard |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Howard |
Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Huntingtown |
JM Bennett |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Kennedy |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Kent County |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kent Island |
Kenwood |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
La Plata |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Lackey |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Lansdowne |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Laurel |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Leonardtown |
Liberty |
Liberty |
Liberty |
 
| |
Linganore |
Linganore |
|
tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) |
Linganore |
Loch Raven |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Long Reach |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
Magruder |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
 
| |
Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
Marriotts Ridge   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Meade |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Winters Mill |
Middletown |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) |
Winters Mill |
Milford Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
MJ McDonough |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) |
Mount Hebron |
New Town |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
North Caroline |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
North County |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
North Dorchester |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
North East Cecil |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
North Hagerstown |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
North Harford |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
North Point |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Northeast |
Winters Mill |
|
Winters Mill   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Northwest |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Northwestern PG |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Northwood |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Oakdale |
Oakdale |
Oakdale |
 
| |
Oakland Mills |
Winters Mill |
|
Winters Mill   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Old Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
Winters Mill   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Overlea |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Owings Mills |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Oxon Hill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Paint Branch |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Parkdale |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Parkside |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Parkville |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Patapsco |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Patterson Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Patuxent |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Perry Hall |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Perryville |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Pikesville |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Poolesville |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Queen Annes County |
Quince Orchard |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Randallstown |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Randallstown |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Reservoir |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
Richard Montgomery |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Rising Sun |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
River Hill |
River Hill |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
River Hill |
Rockville |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Seneca Valley |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Severn Run |
Winters Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Winters Mill |
Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Severna Park |
Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Sherwood |
Smithsburg |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
South Carroll |
South Carroll |
South Carroll |
 
| |
South Hagerstown |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
South River |
South River |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
South River |
Southern |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Winters Mill |
Sparrows Point |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Springbrook |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
St Charles |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Stephen Decatur |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Suitland |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Thomas Stone |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Towson |
Towson |
|
Towson   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Tuscarora |
Winters Mill |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Winters Mill |
Urbana |
Urbana |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Urbana |
Walkersville |
Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
 
| |
Walter Johnson |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Watkins Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Western Baltimore |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Western STES |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Westlake |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Westminster |
Westminster |
Westminster |
 
| |
Wheaton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Whitman |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Wicomico |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Wilde Lake |
Winters Mill |
|
Winters Mill   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
Winston Churchill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Woodlawn |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
Wootton |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
PowerWise = 165

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Oakdale ( 9- 5, 86.0) 8- 9 -13.91 24.01 0.45 0.70 -9.47
0 A Long Reach (10- 4, 80.6) 18- 6 -19.27 18.65 0.45 0.70 13.44
0 H Manchester Val (19- 0, 99.9) 0-20 -0.00 37.92 -0.45 0.70 -0.32
0 A Westminster ( 8- 8, 90.4) 3- 7 -9.53 28.39 0.45 0.70 -6.39
0 A Francis Scott ( 3-11, 78.1) 12- 6 -21.76 16.16 0.45 0.70 11.69
0 H Century (12- 5, 91.5) 5-12 -8.42 29.50 -0.45 0.70 -6.24
0 H Liberty (12- 5, 91.4) 5-16 -8.53 29.39 -0.45 0.70 -6.32
0 A Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 19- 5 -16.27 21.65 0.45 0.70 15.55
0 A Reservoir ( 7- 9, 79.5) 12- 6 -20.40 17.52 0.45 0.70 12.64
0 A South Carroll (16- 3, 92.1) 6-12 -7.79 30.13 0.45 0.70 -5.17
0 H Liberty (12- 5, 91.4) 8-17 -8.53 29.39 -0.45 0.70 -6.32
0 H Centennial ( 9- 5, 89.1) 5- 6 -10.81 27.11 -0.45 0.70 -7.92
0 H North Hagersto ( 0-10, 64.0) 20- 0 -35.94 1.98 -0.45 0.70 1.07
0 H Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 15- 3 -23.73 14.19 -0.45 0.70 9.67
0 A Smithsburg ( 1-11, 69.4) 22- 2 -30.51 7.41 0.45 0.70 5.53
0 H Walkersville ( 2-10, 75.6) 17- 2 -24.35 13.57 -0.45 0.70 9.24
0 A Manchester Val (19- 0, 99.9) 4-20 -0.00 37.92 0.45 0.70 -0.32
------
30.37
|
winning pts = 78.8367 losing points = -48.4651
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------