girls South Forsyth 1

  
South Forsyth         
W-L: (11- 9)  PR =    90.7144
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 211 H Blessed Trinity                      (13- 7, 92.6)    12-17   
 213 A Wesleyan School                      (14- 5, 89.5)    21-11   
 218 H West Forsyth                         (15- 1, 98.7)     1-19   
 225 A Hillgrove                            ( 9-10, 87.5)    11- 7   
 227 A Alpharetta                           (11- 8, 89.0)     7-10   
 305 A Johns Creek                          (14- 4, 95.2)    12-15   
 311 H Forsyth Central                      ( 1-12, 74.8)    25- 2   
 313 H North Forsyth                        ( 3-12, 75.9)    21- 1   
 315 H Starrs Mill                          (12- 4, 89.0)    12-11   
 320 H Fellowship Christian                 (12- 4, 89.2)    19- 5   
 322 H Harrison                             (10- 6, 88.8)     9-11   
 325 H Lambert                              (12- 5, 95.2)     8-16   
 408 A Woodstock                            ( 5-12, 82.0)    16-10   
 411 A Cherokee                             (14- 3, 92.0)     7- 5   
 414 A Brookwood                            (12- 7, 79.8)    21- 3   
 417 H Cambridge                            (17- 1, 97.1)    10-21   
 419 A Creekview                            (12- 8, 91.9)     5- 6   
 421 A North Paulding                       ( 6- 9, 87.3)    16- 4   
 429 A Campbell                             (10- 8, 80.3)    23- 6   
 501 A Cherokee                             (14- 3, 92.0)     9-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Blessed Trinity        12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.88
   213 A Wesleyan School        21-11      10     0    ++     4.54
   218 H West Forsyth            1-19     -18    -7           0.00
   225 A Hillgrove              11- 7       4     2           1.52
   227 A Alpharetta              7-10      -3     1    --    -4.00
   305 A Johns Creek            12-15      -3    -5    +      2.00
   311 H Forsyth Central        25- 2      23    17           0.00
   313 H North Forsyth          21- 1      20    16           0.00
   315 H Starrs Mill            12-11       1     2          -1.44
   320 H Fellowship Christian   19- 5      14     2    +      2.76
   322 H Harrison                9-11      -2     3    --    -4.61
   325 H Lambert                 8-16      -8    -4          -1.20
   408 A Woodstock              16-10       6     8           0.00
   411 A Cherokee                7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.04
   414 A Brookwood              21- 3      18    10           0.00
   417 H Cambridge              10-21     -11    -6           0.00
   419 A Creekview               5- 6      -1    -2           0.93
   421 A North Paulding         16- 4      12     3    +      2.36
   429 A Campbell               23- 6      17    10           0.00
   501 A Cherokee                9-16      -7    -2    -     -2.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Alpharetta              7-10      -3     1    --    -4.00
   322 H Harrison                9-11      -2     3    --    -4.61
   211 H Blessed Trinity        12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.88
   501 A Cherokee                9-16      -7    -2    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Wesleyan School        21-11      10     0    ++     4.54
   411 A Cherokee                7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.04
   305 A Johns Creek            12-15      -3    -5    +      2.00
   320 H Fellowship Christian   19- 5      14     2    +      2.76
   421 A North Paulding         16- 4      12     3    +      2.36

South Forsyth Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Allatoona	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	South Forsyth
Alpharetta	Alpharetta	Alpharetta
Archer	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Blessed Trinity	Blessed Trinity	Blessed Trinity
Bremen	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Brookwood	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
Buford	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)	South Forsyth
Calvary Day	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Cambridge	Cambridge	Cambridge
Campbell	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
Carrollton	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Centennial	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	South Forsyth
Chamblee	South Forsyth		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	South Forsyth
Chattahoochee	Chattahoochee		Chattahoochee 3- 2 vs 1- 4
Cherokee	Cherokee		Cherokee 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Collins Hill	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Columbus	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Creekview	Creekview	Creekview
Dacula	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Dalton	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Darlington	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Decatur	South Forsyth		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	South Forsyth
Denmark	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 6- 4 vs 4- 4
Druid Hills	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Duluth	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Dunwoody	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Dutchtown	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Eagles Landing	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Eagles Landing Christian	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
East Coweta	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
East Forsyth	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3)	South Forsyth
East Paulding	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Effingham County	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Etowah	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 5- 2 vs 1- 5
Evans	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Fayette County	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Fellowship Christian	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
Forsyth Central	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
Gainesville	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
George Walton Academy	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Grayson	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Greater Atlanta Christia	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Greenbrier	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Grovetown	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Hampton	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Harrison	Harrison	Harrison
Hebron Christian	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 3- 1 vs 0- 4
Hillgrove	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
Holy Innocents	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	South Forsyth
Jackson County	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Johns Creek	Johns Creek	Johns Creek
Kell	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 3- 2 vs 0- 4
Kennesaw Mountain	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Kings Ridge Christian	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	South Forsyth
Lakeside DeKalb	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Lakeside Evans	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Lambert	Lambert	Lambert
Lanier	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Lassiter	Lassiter		Lassiter 5- 1 vs 2- 4
Lovett	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Marietta	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 4- 1 vs 1- 3
Marist	South Forsyth		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	South Forsyth
Maynard Jackson	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
McDonough	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
McEachern	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 2- 1 vs 0- 3
McIntosh	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 2- 2 vs 0- 3
Midtown	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Mill Creek	South Forsyth		tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4)	South Forsyth
Milton	Milton		Milton 6- 1 vs 1- 6
Mount Bethel Christian	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Mount Paran Christian	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 3- 3 vs 1- 5
Mount Pisgah Christian	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Mountain View	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	South Forsyth
Newnan	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Norcross	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
North Atlanta	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 4- 0 vs 0- 4
North Cobb	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 3- 1 vs 0- 4
North Cobb Christian	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
North Forsyth	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
North Gwinnett	North Gwinnett		tied - ( 4- 5) ( 4- 4)	North Gwinnett
North Oconee	South Forsyth		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	South Forsyth
North Paulding	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
North Springs	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Northgate	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	South Forsyth
Northview	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Oconee County	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Ola	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Pace Academy	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Parkview	South Forsyth		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	South Forsyth
Peachtree Ridge	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Pinecrest Academy	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Pope	South Forsyth		tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2)	South Forsyth
Richmond Hill	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1)	South Forsyth
River Ridge	South Forsyth		tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)	South Forsyth
Riverwood	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Roswell	Roswell		insuffient: ( 2- 7)( 3- 5)	Roswell
Savannah Christian	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Seckinger	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Sequoyah	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 4- 4 vs 2- 5
South Effingham	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Southwest DeKalb	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Sprayberry	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
St Pius X	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	South Forsyth
St Vincents	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Starrs Mill	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
Stratford Academy	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Strong Rock Christian	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Trinity Christian	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Union Grove	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Walker School	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Walton	Walton		Walton 8- 1 vs 3- 8
Wesleyan School	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
West Forsyth	West Forsyth	West Forsyth
Westminster School	South Forsyth		South Forsyth 4- 2 vs 1- 5
Wheeler	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Whitewater	South Forsyth		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	South Forsyth
Woodland	South Forsyth			South Forsyth
Woodstock	South Forsyth	South Forsyth
Woodward Academy	South Forsyth			South Forsyth

PowerWise = 104

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Blessed Trinit  (13- 7, 92.6)    12-17       -7.34      37.07      -0.72         0.74            -5.95
   0 A Wesleyan Schoo  (14- 5, 89.5)    21-11      -10.37      34.04       0.72         0.74            25.64
   0 H West Forsyth    (15- 1, 98.7)     1-19       -1.23      43.18      -0.72         0.74            -1.44
   0 A Hillgrove       ( 9-10, 87.5)    11- 7      -12.39      32.02       0.72         0.74            24.15
   0 A Alpharetta      (11- 8, 89.0)     7-10      -10.91      33.50       0.72         0.74            -7.51
   0 A Johns Creek     (14- 4, 95.2)    12-15       -4.73      39.68       0.72         0.74            -2.95
   0 H Forsyth Centra  ( 1-12, 74.8)    25- 2      -25.13      19.28      -0.72         0.74            13.68
   0 H North Forsyth   ( 3-12, 75.9)    21- 1      -23.99      20.42      -0.72         0.74            14.52
   0 H Starrs Mill     (12- 4, 89.0)    12-11      -10.90      33.51      -0.72         0.74            24.18
   0 H Fellowship Chr  (12- 4, 89.2)    19- 5      -10.70      33.71      -0.72         0.74            24.33
   0 H Harrison        (10- 6, 88.8)     9-11      -11.07      33.34      -0.72         0.74            -8.70
   0 H Lambert         (12- 5, 95.2)     8-16       -4.66      39.75      -0.72         0.74            -3.97
   0 A Woodstock       ( 5-12, 82.0)    16-10      -17.93      26.48       0.72         0.74            20.06
   0 A Cherokee        (14- 3, 92.0)     7- 5       -7.87      36.54       0.72         0.74            27.48
   0 A Brookwood       (12- 7, 79.8)    21- 3      -20.07      24.34       0.72         0.74            18.48
   0 H Cambridge       (17- 1, 97.1)    10-21       -2.84      41.57      -0.72         0.74            -2.63
   0 A Creekview       (12- 8, 91.9)     5- 6       -7.98      36.43       0.72         0.74            -5.35
   0 A North Paulding  ( 6- 9, 87.3)    16- 4      -12.55      31.86       0.72         0.74            24.03
   0 A Campbell        (10- 8, 80.3)    23- 6      -19.61      24.80       0.72         0.74            18.83
   0 A Cherokee        (14- 3, 92.0)     9-16       -7.87      36.54       0.72         0.74            -5.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       191.61

winning pts = 235.3905 losing points = -43.7775

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------