boys probababilites for 32
2018 boys MD MPSSAA 4321
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Churchill, MD 16 1 8 38 7 5 2 5 12 5.00
2 Severna Park 17 2 2 5 1 1 12 1 14 16.00
3 Glenelg HS 14 2 1 4 5 6 4 6 16 33.00
4 Howard 16 2 6 8 6 7 6 7 20 6.00
5 Marriotts Ridge 17 2 3 6 2 4 13 3 20 6.00
6 Broadneck 12 6 14 1 9 8 1 13 22 2.00
7 Damascus 15 3 15 45 11 11 3 10 24 0.10
8 Eleanor Roosevel 15 1 56 137 10 13 8 8 29 0.10
9 Towson 14 5 11 10 13 9 22 11 42 0.10
10 South River 9 5 13 3 18 14 10 19 43 0.10
11 Walt Whitman, MD 11 4 34 46 29 16 7 20 43 0.10
12 Westminster, MD 18 1 4 14 3 2 46 4 52 7.00
13 Hereford 17 3 7 21 4 3 48 2 53 17.00
14 Centennial, MD 12 6 10 15 20 28 9 27 64 1.00
15 Kent Island 13 4 9 22 12 12 44 12 68 0.10
16 Linganore 13 3 17 61 16 33 26 15 74 0.10
17 Bowie, MD 12 2 70 149 19 18 43 14 75 0.10
18 Northern, Calver 18 2 5 52 8 10 58 9 77 7.00
19 City, Baltimore 10 3 85 119 23 25 28 25 78 0.10
20 Huntingtown 11 5 23 51 25 23 29 29 81 0.10
21 La Plata 13 4 31 82 22 39 23 22 84 0.10
22 Quince Orchard 10 7 48 37 43 24 27 33 84 0.10
23 Dulaney 10 6 19 12 24 15 54 16 85 0.10
24 Middletown, MD 11 5 24 42 44 26 16 46 88 0.10
25 Richard Montgome 12 4 40 70 37 29 31 30 90 0.10
26 Patterson Mill 13 6 30 41 51 30 19 50 99 0.10
27 Urbana 10 7 26 33 52 36 5 60 101 0.10
28 Oakdale 12 2 12 56 17 22 64 17 103 0.10
29 C.M. Wright 9 7 22 23 40 21 42 41 104 0.10
30 Manchester Valle 7 7 29 17 66 32 11 63 106 0.10
31 Bethesda-Chevy C 10 5 44 77 54 44 20 44 108 0.10
32 Gwynn Park 6 3 128 123 36 27 56 28 111 0.10
33 Arundel 10 6 18 9 14 19 70 24 113 0.10
34 Eastern Tech 7 7 52 44 71 38 14 61 113 0.10
35 Sherwood, MD 9 5 42 62 57 43 32 47 122 0.10
36 Century, MD 9 6 20 11 59 34 33 56 123 0.10
37 Bel Air 10 6 28 27 30 17 73 35 125 0.10
38 Liberty, MD 8 7 38 25 74 40 21 69 130 0.10
39 Northwestern, PG 10 4 101 150 50 49 45 39 133 0.10
40 Southern AA 9 9 39 13 46 42 41 51 134 0.10
41 Poolesville 9 4 49 80 41 46 50 40 136 0.10
42 Mount Hebron 6 10 37 2 60 41 18 80 139 0.10
43 Annapolis 8 8 27 19 32 45 63 32 140 0.10
44 Blake, MD 11 5 63 89 47 55 40 45 140 0.10
45 Catonsville 8 8 43 24 48 35 51 55 141 0.10
46 Franklin, MD 7 7 54 47 76 52 24 65 141 0.10
47 River Hill 8 8 36 7 42 47 37 59 143 0.10
48 Sparrows Point 8 8 64 72 97 48 17 87 152 0.10
49 Fallston 11 8 33 31 49 31 91 48 170 0.10
50 South Carroll 5 9 53 20 101 58 15 98 171 0.10
51 Atholton 7 8 41 26 68 62 30 83 175 0.10
52 Leonardtown 10 4 50 97 31 66 71 38 175 0.10
53 Parkville 11 2 69 132 21 50 109 18 177 0.10
54 J.M. Bennett 14 4 16 30 15 20 140 21 181 0.10
55 Smithsburg 14 3 45 92 26 57 100 26 183 0.10
56 Baltimore Polyte 10 4 83 127 33 53 97 34 184 0.10
57 Old Mill 7 9 51 32 81 78 25 86 189 0.10
58 Parkside 9 4 25 49 45 59 87 49 195 0.10
59 Oxon Hill 8 5 129 156 56 60 82 54 196 0.10
60 C.H. Flowers 7 6 142 146 83 72 57 70 199 0.10
61 Dr Henry Wise 6 5 126 145 73 68 77 62 207 0.10
62 NorthEast AA 5 9 46 16 91 65 35 107 207 0.10
63 Mergenthaler Vo- 8 2 88 134 28 51 136 23 210 0.10
64 Stephen Decatur, 9 5 21 35 27 37 142 31 210 0.10
65 Douglass, BC 9 3 98 144 38 61 112 42 215 0.10
66 Havre De Grace 9 7 60 64 93 64 60 93 217 0.10
67 Oakland Mills 10 6 58 67 58 81 78 58 217 0.10
68 Calvert 8 6 47 57 72 56 88 75 219 0.10
69 Einstein 7 5 79 100 62 79 84 57 220 0.10
70 Chopticon 6 8 87 55 79 67 72 84 223 0.10
71 Perry Hall 6 9 62 43 116 77 38 108 223 0.10
72 Kenwood 8 5 103 124 65 75 81 68 224 0.10
73 High Point 6 6 127 151 87 82 67 78 227 0.10
74 Chesapeake, BC 10 3 106 160 34 71 122 36 229 0.10
75 Aberdeen 9 6 65 111 77 80 76 74 230 0.10
76 North Harford 7 10 59 36 125 63 36 131 230 0.10
77 Chesapeake, AA 8 7 32 34 63 70 94 71 235 0.10
78 Largo 9 3 122 167 39 69 126 43 238 0.10
79 Walter Johnson 6 8 78 78 108 84 53 106 243 0.10
80 North County 7 9 66 48 100 94 49 102 245 0.10
81 Edmondson-Westsi 2 6 121 115 99 87 61 99 247 0.10
82 Forest Park, MD 6 3 97 125 35 74 143 37 254 0.10
83 Wootton 6 10 67 65 129 90 47 121 258 0.10
84 Northwest 5 9 84 75 136 91 39 129 259 0.10
85 Loch Raven 10 4 72 121 55 73 138 53 264 0.10
86 Suitland 5 6 138 153 92 89 93 82 264 0.10
87 MJ McDonough 10 6 90 118 80 83 104 79 266 0.10
88 Carver Vo-Tech 5 6 119 140 90 86 98 90 274 0.10
89 Winters Mill 6 11 55 29 137 85 52 139 276 0.10
90 Easton, MD 6 10 57 28 85 76 110 92 278 0.10
91 Queen Annes Coun 10 7 35 39 61 54 160 64 278 0.10
92 Reservoir 3 11 71 18 121 98 34 148 280 0.10
93 Douglass, PG 2 4 147 163 70 103 106 73 282 0.10
94 Paint Branch 9 7 73 107 95 92 99 94 285 0.10
95 Dunbar 4 8 136 133 127 93 80 124 297 0.10
96 Laurel 3 7 153 142 112 101 95 101 297 0.10
97 Great Mills 7 8 92 90 86 88 119 91 298 0.10
98 Watkins Mill 4 8 113 93 126 107 74 120 301 0.10
99 Gov Thomas Johns 6 9 80 73 131 105 66 133 304 0.10
100 Cambridge, SD 6 9 86 60 109 104 90 113 307 0.10
101 Crossland 3 5 137 143 64 109 134 67 310 0.10
102 Woodlawn 6 5 132 147 67 102 145 66 313 0.10
103 Lansdowne 7 6 108 122 84 99 131 85 315 0.10
104 Patuxent 3 10 109 54 133 100 83 135 318 0.10
105 Rockville, MD 7 6 89 112 82 108 130 81 319 0.10
106 Blair 4 9 99 88 142 111 69 140 320 0.10
107 National Academy 1 7 163 128 119 121 86 117 324 0.10
108 Boonsboro 6 9 93 103 113 117 92 116 325 0.10
109 Pikesville 0 11 134 40 160 124 55 155 334 0.10
110 Springbrook 6 8 96 105 122 115 101 119 335 0.10
111 North Point 3 10 110 84 149 120 65 151 336 0.10
112 Overlea 6 6 131 158 89 113 135 89 337 0.10
113 Dundalk 3 10 135 116 154 118 68 153 339 0.10
114 Lackey 6 8 112 117 107 128 103 110 341 0.10
115 Tuscarora, MD 8 9 74 71 102 96 133 112 341 0.10
116 Bladensburg 3 9 162 148 147 126 85 132 343 0.10
117 Harford Tech 7 8 75 94 114 114 116 114 344 0.10
118 Brunswick, MD 4 11 95 74 157 122 62 161 345 0.10
119 Catoctin 6 8 81 86 118 110 115 123 348 0.10
120 Patterson 1 6 150 138 104 132 113 103 348 0.10
121 Rising Sun 6 9 61 59 105 97 147 104 348 0.10
122 Francis Scott Ke 5 10 100 66 110 106 139 109 354 0.10
123 Fairmont Heights 0 4 167 162 75 156 123 76 355 0.10
124 Digital Harbor 2 4 144 154 69 135 154 72 361 0.10
125 Owings Mills 4 8 133 136 128 125 111 126 362 0.10
126 Patapsco 4 6 117 129 96 116 151 95 362 0.10
127 Walkersville 5 11 82 50 150 95 118 150 363 0.10
128 Frederick 2 12 120 63 165 141 59 166 366 0.10
129 Bluford Drew Jem 4 5 130 155 78 129 161 77 367 0.10
130 Kent County 6 7 77 76 94 112 159 96 367 0.10
131 St Charles, MD 4 9 114 114 144 127 96 144 367 0.10
132 Magruder 3 11 107 99 161 134 79 160 373 0.10
133 North East Cecil 6 7 91 113 88 119 168 88 375 0.10
134 Central, PG 6 7 146 168 103 130 152 100 382 0.10
135 Reginald F. Lewi 1 7 161 131 120 143 121 118 382 0.10
136 Carver A&T 5 8 140 157 123 133 129 122 384 0.10
137 Glen Burnie 6 9 94 69 138 139 105 142 386 0.10
138 Potomac HS 3 6 159 165 98 137 156 97 390 0.10
139 West Nottingham 0 2 168 169 53 169 169 52 390 0.10
140 Friendly 3 7 156 164 111 131 149 111 391 0.10
141 Clarksburg 4 9 116 108 143 144 108 141 393 0.10
142 DuVal 0 9 169 141 151 149 102 146 397 0.10
143 Kennedy, MD 0 13 151 81 169 159 75 167 401 0.10
144 Northwood, MD 5 10 104 110 152 142 107 152 401 0.10
145 Surrattsville 1 6 165 166 106 150 146 105 401 0.10
146 Perryville 5 10 102 87 141 123 144 138 405 0.10
147 Westlake, MD 1 12 141 98 166 153 89 165 407 0.10
148 Western STES 4 9 139 126 145 136 127 145 408 0.10
149 Wilde Lake 4 8 68 68 117 140 141 127 408 0.10
150 Lake Clifton 2 7 149 139 115 146 148 115 409 0.10
151 North Caroline 4 9 76 58 135 138 137 137 412 0.10
152 Wheaton 1 9 143 83 146 148 128 136 412 0.10
153 North Hagerstown 4 9 105 95 140 147 124 143 414 0.10
154 Parkdale 1 10 166 152 159 152 117 154 423 0.10
155 Gaithersburg 2 11 125 104 163 151 114 162 427 0.10
156 Wicomico 1 12 124 53 153 145 125 158 428 0.10
157 Seneca Valley, M 1 10 155 102 156 155 120 157 432 0.10
158 Edgewood, MD 5 8 111 120 124 154 166 125 445 0.10
159 New Town 1 8 148 135 134 161 155 134 450 0.10
160 Milford Mill 2 8 158 161 132 160 162 130 452 0.10
161 Long Reach 3 9 123 96 139 157 153 149 459 0.10
162 Bohemia Manor 3 10 154 130 130 168 167 128 463 0.10
163 Thomas Stone 0 14 160 101 168 163 132 169 464 0.10
164 Hammond 3 10 115 91 148 162 163 147 472 0.10
165 Joppatowne 1 11 152 109 158 158 164 156 478 0.10
166 Meade 1 12 145 79 162 165 150 163 478 0.10
167 Elkton 2 11 118 106 155 164 165 159 488 0.10
168 Randallstown 1 11 164 159 164 167 158 164 489 0.10
169 South Hagerstown 0 13 157 85 167 166 157 168 491 0.10
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