![]()
Region = VA 6A Reg D Nickname = A Patriots Coach = Greg BeerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.1373901 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 A Centreville VA 6A Reg D ( 3-12, 79.3) 6- 7 315 A Chantilly VA 6A Reg D (14- 6, 90.8) 5- 7 317 N Dominion VA 4A Reg C (13- 7, 91.4) 9-12 324 A Robinson, VA VA 6A Reg C (19- 3, 96.2) 4-12 405 A McLean, VA VA 6A Reg D ( 9- 8, 84.2) 11- 4 409 H Madison, VA VA 6A Reg D ( 9-10, 86.7) 8- 7 413 H Langley, VA VA 6A Reg D ( 7- 9, 84.4) 8- 7 o 416 H Lake Braddock VA 6A Reg C ( 5-10, 82.7) 8- 9 o 417 A Stonewall Jackson VA 6A Reg D ( 6-10, 79.2) 7- 9 419 A Herndon VA 6A Reg D ( 5- 7, 77.4) 14- 1 425 A Oakton VA 6A Reg D (18- 4, 95.9) 5-15 427 H Washington-Lee VA 6A Reg D ( 4-11, 71.0) 18- 5 502 H Brentsville VA 4A Reg B (11- 5, 85.6) 13- 9 504 A South Lakes VA 6A Reg D (14- 2, 90.8) 6- 7 511 H Langley, VA VA 6A Reg D ( 7- 9, 84.4) 3- 6 518 H Stonewall Jackson VA 6A Reg D ( 6-10, 79.2) 14-10 521 A Oakton VA 6A Reg D (18- 4, 95.9) 5-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Centreville 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.79 315 A Chantilly 5- 7 -2 -7 ++ 5.67 317 N Dominion 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.97 324 A Robinson, VA 4-12 -8 -13 + 2.00 405 A McLean, VA 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 8.07 409 H Madison, VA 8- 7 1 0 1.99 413 H Langley, VA 8- 7 o 1 1 -0.31 416 H Lake Braddock 8- 9 o -1 2 - -3.99 417 A Stonewall Jackson 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.88 419 A Herndon 14- 1 13 5 ++ 4.31 425 A Oakton 5-15 -10 -12 0.00 427 H Washington-Lee 18- 5 13 14 0.00 502 H Brentsville 13- 9 4 0 + 3.92 504 A South Lakes 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.67 511 H Langley, VA 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.31 518 H Stonewall Jackson 14-10 4 6 - -2.44 521 A Oakton 5-15 -10 -12 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Centreville 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.79 417 A Stonewall Jackson 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.88 511 H Langley, VA 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.31 416 H Lake Braddock 8- 9 o -1 2 - -3.99 518 H Stonewall Jackson 14-10 4 6 - -2.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A McLean, VA 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 8.07 504 A South Lakes 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.67 315 A Chantilly 5- 7 -2 -7 ++ 5.67 419 A Herndon 14- 1 13 5 ++ 4.31 317 N Dominion 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.97 324 A Robinson, VA 4-12 -8 -13 + 2.00 502 H Brentsville 13- 9 4 0 + 3.92/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.40 Local Power Rank........... 35 Local SOS Rating......... 68.62 Local SOS Rank............. 16 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 47 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 110 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 60 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0