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Conf = SCIAC Region = CT L Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Scott BasileGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.6590958 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Hamden CT L ( 3-13, 60.3) 17- 1 409 A Notre Dame, West Haven CT M (12- 8, 83.1) 9- 7 414 H Conard-West Hartford CT L ( 8- 8, 80.8) 8- 9 418 H Foran CT M ( 8- 9, 72.5) 16- 5 421 H North Haven CT M ( 9- 9, 78.4) 12-11 o 423 A Daniel Hand CT M (14- 7, 87.8) 11-13 428 A New Fairfield CT M (22- 0, 97.6) 5-16 430 H Fairfield Prep, CT CT L (14- 7, 92.3) 2-11 502 A Amity Regional CT L ( 6-10, 74.5) 17- 6 504 A Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 6-10, 66.8) 18- 3 507 H Cheshire HS CT L (12- 9, 86.4) 4-10 510 H Fairfield Ludlowe CT L (11- 8, 83.3) 8-15 514 A Guilford CT M (12- 8, 84.8) 11-12 516 H East Lyme CT M (13- 8, 78.1) 14- 7 519 A Cheshire HS CT L (12- 9, 86.4) 12-18 521 A Stonington CT S ( 7-10, 67.3) 16- 3 522 A Simsbury CT L ( 8-10, 82.3) 12-11 526 H Conard-West Hartford CT L ( 8- 8, 80.8) 12-11 530 A Darien CT L (22- 1, 99.9) 4-23PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Hamden 17- 1 16 20 0.00 409 A Notre Dame, West Haven 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.28 414 H Conard-West Hartford 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.98 418 H Foran 16- 5 11 10 0.00 421 H North Haven 12-11 o 1 4 - -3.35 423 A Daniel Hand 11-13 -2 -6 ++ 5.00 428 A New Fairfield 5-16 -11 -16 0.00 430 H Fairfield Prep, CT 2-11 -9 -9 0.53 502 A Amity Regional 17- 6 11 6 + 3.67 504 A Norwich Free Academy 18- 3 15 14 0.00 507 H Cheshire HS 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.41 510 H Fairfield Ludlowe 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.55 514 A Guilford 11-12 -1 -4 + 3.01 516 H East Lyme 14- 7 7 4 + 2.33 519 A Cheshire HS 12-18 -6 -5 -0.43 521 A Stonington 16- 3 13 13 0.00 522 A Simsbury 12-11 1 -1 + 2.50 526 H Conard-West Hartford 12-11 1 1 -0.98 530 A Darien 4-23 -19 -19 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 H Fairfield Ludlowe 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.55 414 H Conard-West Hartford 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.98 421 H North Haven 12-11 o 1 4 - -3.35 507 H Cheshire HS 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Notre Dame, West Haven 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.28 423 A Daniel Hand 11-13 -2 -6 ++ 5.00 502 A Amity Regional 17- 6 11 6 + 3.67 514 A Guilford 11-12 -1 -4 + 3.01 516 H East Lyme 14- 7 7 4 + 2.33 522 A Simsbury 12-11 1 -1 + 2.50/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.81 Local Power Rank........... 26 Local SOS Rating......... 61.11 Local SOS Rank............. 17 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 27 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 99 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 34 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7