Region = MD    2A               
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Jeff Beeker           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.2160187    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A C.M. Wright            MD    3A      ( 9- 7, 86.8)     5- 6 3o
 330 N Rising Sun             MD    2A      ( 6- 9, 79.1)     3- 6   
 331 N Brunswick, MD          MD    1A      ( 4-11, 71.8)     8- 5   
 405 H Liberty, MD            MD    2A      ( 8- 7, 84.2)     6-13   
 410 H South Carroll          MD    2A      ( 5- 9, 80.5)     7- 9   
 412 A Atholton               MD    3A      ( 7- 8, 83.4)    11-10   
 417 A Manchester Valley      MD    3A      ( 7- 7, 85.2)     9-10   
 418 H Patterson Mill         MD    1A      (13- 6, 85.0)     5- 9   
 420 A Westminster, MD        MD    3A      (18- 1, 98.1)     7-20   
 424 H Century, MD            MD    2A      ( 9- 6, 87.7)     4- 9   
 425 A Francis Scott Key      MD    1A      ( 5-10, 71.0)    18- 6   
 427 A Gerstell Academy       MD B  MIAA    (11- 7, 96.2)     9-14   
 501 H Wilde Lake             MD    2A      ( 4- 8, 76.9)    11- 8   
 502 H Old Mill               MD    4A      ( 7- 9, 81.3)     7-12   
 509 A South Carroll          MD    2A      ( 5- 9, 80.5)     8- 7   
 511 A Oakdale                MD    2A      (12- 2, 92.0)    15-14  o
 514 A Liberty, MD            MD    2A      ( 8- 7, 84.2)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A C.M. Wright             5- 6 3o   -1    -7    +++    6.33
   330 N Rising Sun              3- 6      -3     1    --    -4.17
   331 N Brunswick, MD           8- 5       3     8    --    -5.44
   405 H Liberty, MD             6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.79
   410 H South Carroll           7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.56
   412 A Atholton               11-10       1    -3    ++     4.93
   417 A Manchester Valley       9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.76
   418 H Patterson Mill          5- 9      -4    -4           0.01
   420 A Westminster, MD         7-20     -13   -18           0.00
   424 H Century, MD             4- 9      -5    -6           1.66
   425 A Francis Scott Key      18- 6      12     8           1.58
   427 A Gerstell Academy        9-14      -5   -16          n/a  
   501 H Wilde Lake             11- 8       3     4          -1.11
   502 H Old Mill                7-12      -5     0    --    -4.67
   509 A South Carroll           8- 7       1    -1    +      2.01
   511 A Oakdale                15-14  o    1   -12    +++   11.00
   514 A Liberty, MD             6- 9      -3    -4           1.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 N Rising Sun              3- 6      -3     1    --    -4.17
   331 N Brunswick, MD           8- 5       3     8    --    -5.44
   502 H Old Mill                7-12      -5     0    --    -4.67
   405 H Liberty, MD             6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.79
   410 H South Carroll           7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A C.M. Wright             5- 6 3o   -1    -7    +++    6.33
   511 A Oakdale                15-14  o    1   -12    +++   11.00
   412 A Atholton               11-10       1    -3    ++     4.93
   417 A Manchester Valley       9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.76
   427 A Gerstell Academy        9-14      -5   -16    ++         
   509 A South Carroll           8- 7       1    -1    +      2.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.23 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.08 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    85
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   167
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   137
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/