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Region = VA 5A Reg C Nickname = A Bulldogs Coach = Scott MitchellGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.8973618 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 A Loudoun Valley VA 4A Reg C ( 8- 7, 86.1) 13- 7 315 A Langley, VA VA 6A Reg D ( 7- 9, 84.4) 15- 6 324 N South County VA 6A Reg C (14- 7, 91.1) 15-12 404 H Loudoun County VA 4A Reg C ( 9- 7, 85.6) 8- 6 410 A Oakton VA 6A Reg D (18- 4, 95.9) 7-12 413 A Briar Woods VA 5A Reg C (22- 1, 99.9) 9-13 417 H Westfield, VA VA 6A Reg D (10- 8, 88.1) 10-14 420 A Rock Ridge VA 5A Reg C ( 4-11, 74.7) 22- 7 424 H Tuscarora, VA VA 5A Reg C ( 6- 9, 77.4) 21- 6 501 H Potomac Falls VA 5A Reg C ( 0-15, 69.6) 20- 2 502 H Woodgrove VA 4A Reg C ( 5-10, 80.3) 12-11 504 H Freedom, South Riding VA 5A Reg C (13- 5, 90.9) 8- 5 508 A John Champe VA 5A Reg C (14- 3, 90.6) 10-11 511 H Broad Run VA 5A Reg C ( 7- 9, 83.3) 18- 9 514 H Tuscarora, VA VA 5A Reg C ( 6- 9, 77.4) 19- 7 517 A John Champe VA 5A Reg C (14- 3, 90.6) 12- 5 518 N Briar Woods VA 5A Reg C (22- 1, 99.9) 7-19 522 H Thomas Jefferson VA 5A Reg C ( 6- 8, 75.4) 20- 3 524 A Freedom, South Riding VA 5A Reg C (13- 5, 90.9) 12- 5 529 N Briar Woods VA 5A Reg C (22- 1, 99.9) 11-15 601 H North Stafford VA 5A Reg D (10- 8, 80.3) 16- 5 605 N Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A Reg D (13- 4, 90.0) 15- 9 609 N Briar Woods VA 5A Reg C (22- 1, 99.9) 9-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Loudoun Valley 13- 7 6 4 1.20 315 A Langley, VA 15- 6 9 6 + 2.52 324 N South County 15-12 3 1 1.94 404 H Loudoun County 8- 6 2 7 -- -5.79 410 A Oakton 7-12 -5 -5 0.04 413 A Briar Woods 9-13 -4 -9 ++ 5.05 417 H Westfield, VA 10-14 -4 5 --- -9.30 420 A Rock Ridge 22- 7 15 16 0.00 424 H Tuscarora, VA 21- 6 15 16 0.00 501 H Potomac Falls 20- 2 18 23 0.00 502 H Woodgrove 12-11 1 13 --- -9.00 504 H Freedom, South Riding 8- 5 3 2 0.45 508 A John Champe 10-11 -1 0 -1.27 511 H Broad Run 18- 9 9 10 -1.00 514 H Tuscarora, VA 19- 7 12 16 0.00 517 A John Champe 12- 5 7 0 +++ 6.73 518 N Briar Woods 7-19 -12 -7 - -2.24 522 H Thomas Jefferson 20- 3 17 18 0.00 524 A Freedom, South Riding 12- 5 7 0 +++ 7.01 529 N Briar Woods 11-15 -4 -7 + 3.76 601 H North Stafford 16- 5 11 13 0.00 605 N Patrick Henry, Roanoke 15- 9 6 2 + 3.88 609 N Briar Woods 9-16 -7 -7 0.76UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Westfield, VA 10-14 -4 5 --- -9.30 502 H Woodgrove 12-11 1 13 --- -9.00 404 H Loudoun County 8- 6 2 7 -- -5.79 518 N Briar Woods 7-19 -12 -7 - -2.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 A John Champe 12- 5 7 0 +++ 6.73 524 A Freedom, South Riding 12- 5 7 0 +++ 7.01 413 A Briar Woods 9-13 -4 -9 ++ 5.05 315 A Langley, VA 15- 6 9 6 + 2.52 529 N Briar Woods 11-15 -4 -7 + 3.76 605 N Patrick Henry, Roanoke 15- 9 6 2 + 3.88/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.14 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 71.99 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 12 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3