![]()
Conf = Indep Region = NY D Sec 5 Nickname = Y Mustangs Coach = Brian HobartGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.6049652 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 403 A Cathedral Prep, Erie PA Dist-X ( 8-10, 81.5) 17- 2 406 H Canandaigua NY B Sec 5 (10- 8, 86.5) 6- 7 o 410 A Bath-Haverling NY D Sec 5 (11- 7, 81.6) 10- 7 414 A Marcellus NY D Sec 3 (12- 6, 88.0) 5- 4 2o 417 H Westhill, NY NY C Sec 3 (16- 6, 93.0) 5- 4 421 H Webster Thomas NY B Sec 5 (16- 3, 96.9) 3- 9 424 A Livonia-Avon NY C Sec 5 ( 4-11, 70.9) 17- 1 428 A Clarence NY A Sec 6 (10- 7, 89.6) 10- 5 501 H McQuaid Jesuit NY B Sec 5 (13- 4, 91.0) 4- 5 o 505 H West Seneca East NY C Sec 6 (12- 9, 85.9) 14- 3 510 A Fairport NY A Sec 5 (13- 5, 94.1) 3- 6 512 H St Joseph Collegiate NY P Sec 6 (17- 4, 99.9) 5- 4 515 A Geneva, NY NY C Sec 5 (12- 7, 85.1) 7- 4 516 H Marcus Whitman NY D Sec 5 ( 6-10, 70.3) 18- 6 518 A Penfield NY A Sec 5 (14- 6, 92.7) 2-12 523 H Waterloo NY D Sec 5 ( 3-15, 65.8) 17- 2 526 N Bath-Haverling NY D Sec 5 (11- 7, 81.6) 12- 4 530 N Aquinas Institute, NY NY D Sec 5 (11- 8, 84.9) 8- 6 602 N Akron NY D Sec 6 (17- 2, 95.7) 12-11 o 606 N Chenango Forks NY D Sec 4 (17- 2, 98.1) 10- 7 609 N Pleasantville NY D Sec 1 (21- 1, 97.7) 2-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Cathedral Prep, Erie 17- 2 15 7 n/a 406 H Canandaigua 6- 7 o -1 3 -- -4.60 410 A Bath-Haverling 10- 7 3 7 -- -4.10 414 A Marcellus 5- 4 2o 1 0 n/a 417 H Westhill, NY 5- 4 1 -3 n/a 421 H Webster Thomas 3- 9 -6 -6 0.82 424 A Livonia-Avon 17- 1 16 17 0.00 428 A Clarence 10- 5 5 0 n/a 501 H McQuaid Jesuit 4- 5 o -1 0 -0.08 505 H West Seneca East 14- 3 11 3 n/a 510 A Fairport 3- 6 -3 -5 + 2.35 512 H St Joseph Collegiate 5- 4 1 -10 n/a 515 A Geneva, NY 7- 4 3 3 -0.61 516 H Marcus Whitman 18- 6 12 19 0.00 518 A Penfield 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.10 523 H Waterloo 17- 2 15 24 0.00 526 N Bath-Haverling 12- 4 8 7 0.22 530 N Aquinas Institute, NY 8- 6 2 4 - -2.50 602 N Akron 12-11 o 1 -6 n/a 606 N Chenango Forks 10- 7 3 -8 n/a 609 N Pleasantville 2-16 -14 -8 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 518 A Penfield 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.10 406 H Canandaigua 6- 7 o -1 3 -- -4.60 410 A Bath-Haverling 10- 7 3 7 -- -4.10 530 N Aquinas Institute, NY 8- 6 2 4 - -2.50OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H West Seneca East 14- 3 11 3 +++ 512 H St Joseph Collegiate 5- 4 1 -10 +++ 602 N Akron 12-11 o 1 -6 +++ 606 N Chenango Forks 10- 7 3 -8 +++ 417 H Westhill, NY 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 428 A Clarence 10- 5 5 0 ++ 403 A Cathedral Prep, Erie 17- 2 15 7 + 510 A Fairport 3- 6 -3 -5 + 2.35/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.42 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 72.46 Local SOS Rank............. 12 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3