Region = MD    3A               
   Nickname = D Colonels             Coach  =   Gregory Lyons         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   74.7832108    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Sherwood, MD           MD    4A      ( 9- 5, 83.1)     4-17   
 406 A Rockville, MD          MD    3A      ( 7- 6, 72.8)     5- 7   
 409 H Poolesville            MD    2A      ( 9- 4, 82.0)     7-12   
 411 A Seneca Valley, MD      MD    2A      ( 1-10, 55.4)    14- 3   
 412 A Northwood, MD          MD    4A      ( 5-10, 69.2)     7- 9   
 416 H Watkins Mill           MD    3A      ( 4- 8, 65.3)     4- 5   
 418 A Blake, MD              MD    3A      (11- 5, 78.4)     6-12   
 420 H Damascus               MD    2A      (15- 3, 91.4)     1-19   
 430 H Northwest              MD    4A      ( 5- 9, 74.0)     5- 8   
 501 H Springbrook            MD    4A      ( 6- 8, 71.5)     6- 8   
 502 A Gaithersburg           MD    4A      ( 2-11, 63.2)    19- 9   
 504 A Walter Johnson         MD    4A      ( 6- 8, 74.9)     5-20   
 509 A Rockville, MD          MD    3A      ( 7- 6, 72.8)    10- 8   
 511 A Blake, MD              MD    3A      (11- 5, 78.4)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Sherwood, MD            4-17     -13   -15           0.00
   406 A Rockville, MD           5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.70
   409 H Poolesville             7-12      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   411 A Seneca Valley, MD      14- 3      11    11           0.00
   412 A Northwood, MD           7- 9      -2    -2           0.01
   416 H Watkins Mill            4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.40
   418 A Blake, MD               6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   420 H Damascus                1-19     -18   -22           0.00
   430 H Northwest               5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.24
   501 H Springbrook             6- 8      -2    -2           0.84
   502 A Gaithersburg           19- 9      10     3    +++    6.08
   504 A Walter Johnson          5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.26
   509 A Rockville, MD          10- 8       2    -5    +++    7.70
   511 A Blake, MD               8- 9      -1   -11    +++    9.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Watkins Mill            4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.40
   504 A Walter Johnson          5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Gaithersburg           19- 9      10     3    +++    6.08
   509 A Rockville, MD          10- 8       2    -5    +++    7.70
   511 A Blake, MD               8- 9      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   409 H Poolesville             7-12      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   418 A Blake, MD               6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   406 A Rockville, MD           5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.70
   430 H Northwest               5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.93 Local Power Rank...........   107
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.92 Local SOS Rank.............    99
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............   134
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    92
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   161
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/