Conf =  Wheel                     Region = MA 2  CenWest          
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Keith Campbell        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2835236    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Pope Francis           MA 3  CenWest ( 6-12, 73.2)    19- 4   
 407 A Duxbury                MA 1  South   (16- 4, 96.1)     5- 6 2o
 410 A Minnechaug Regional    MA 2  CenWest (14- 6, 85.9)     4- 3   
 413 A South Hadley           MA 3  CenWest (10-10, 76.8)    15- 7   
 417 H Northampton            MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 79.2)    14- 3   
 420 N Billerica              MA 2  North   (16- 6, 89.7)     9- 8   
 426 H Westfield, MA          MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 87.2)    16- 9   
 428 H St John's, Shrewsbury  MA 2  CenWest (16- 5, 92.1)     8- 7   
 430 H Pope Francis           MA 3  CenWest ( 6-12, 73.2)    14- 4   
 506 A Franklin, MA           MA 1  South   (16- 4, 94.6)     8-22   
 509 A Northampton            MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 79.2)    19- 6   
 512 A Pinkerton Academy      NH 1          (19- 2, 98.7)    12-11   
 514 A Daniel Hand            CT M          (14- 7, 87.8)     5- 4  o
 516 H South Hadley           MA 3  CenWest (10-10, 76.8)    20- 3   
 519 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg    MA 1  North   (11- 7, 94.1)     7-12   
 521 H Minnechaug Regional    MA 2  CenWest (14- 6, 85.9)    17- 3   
 523 A Westfield, MA          MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 87.2)    16-12   
 524 H Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (20- 3, 99.9)    12-14   
 608 H Nashoba Regional       MA 2  CenWest (12- 8, 83.0)    17- 4   
 612 H Marlborough            MA 2  CenWest (15- 6, 86.5)    14- 8   
 615 N St John's, Shrewsbury  MA 2  CenWest (16- 5, 92.1)     6- 5   
 619 N Concord-Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (18- 6, 91.5)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Pope Francis           19- 4      15    19           0.00
   407 A Duxbury                 5- 6 2o   -1    -3    +      2.84
   410 A Minnechaug Regional     4- 3       1     6    --    -5.34
   413 A South Hadley           15- 7       8    15    -     -2.00
   417 H Northampton            14- 3      11    14           0.00
   420 N Billerica               9- 8       1     3    -     -2.21
   426 H Westfield, MA          16- 9       7     6           0.68
   428 H St John's, Shrewsbury   8- 7       1     1          -0.40
   430 H Pope Francis           14- 4      10    20           0.00
   506 A Franklin, MA            8-22     -14    -2    ---   -7.59
   509 A Northampton            19- 6      13    13           0.00
   512 A Pinkerton Academy      12-11       1    -6          n/a  
   514 A Daniel Hand             5- 4  o    1     4          n/a  
   516 H South Hadley           20- 3      17    16           0.00
   519 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg     7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.14
   521 H Minnechaug Regional    17- 3      14     7    +      2.36
   523 A Westfield, MA          16-12       4     5          -1.03
   524 H Boston College HS      12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.37
   608 H Nashoba Regional       17- 4      13    10           0.00
   612 H Marlborough            14- 8       6     7          -1.08
   615 N St John's, Shrewsbury   6- 5       1     0           0.25
   619 N Concord-Carlisle        7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Franklin, MA            8-22     -14    -2    ---   -7.59
   410 A Minnechaug Regional     4- 3       1     6    --    -5.34
   413 A South Hadley           15- 7       8    15    -     -2.00
   420 N Billerica               9- 8       1     3    -     -2.21
   514 A Daniel Hand             5- 4  o    1     4    -          
   519 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg     7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.14
   619 N Concord-Carlisle        7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Pinkerton Academy      12-11       1    -6    +++        
   524 H Boston College HS      12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.37
   407 A Duxbury                 5- 6 2o   -1    -3    +      2.84
   521 H Minnechaug Regional    17- 3      14     7    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.88 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.31 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/