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Conf = Wheel Region = MA 2 CenWest Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Keith CampbellGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.2835236 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Pope Francis MA 3 CenWest ( 6-12, 73.2) 19- 4 407 A Duxbury MA 1 South (16- 4, 96.1) 5- 6 2o 410 A Minnechaug Regional MA 2 CenWest (14- 6, 85.9) 4- 3 413 A South Hadley MA 3 CenWest (10-10, 76.8) 15- 7 417 H Northampton MA 2 CenWest ( 9-10, 79.2) 14- 3 420 N Billerica MA 2 North (16- 6, 89.7) 9- 8 426 H Westfield, MA MA 2 CenWest (13- 7, 87.2) 16- 9 428 H St John's, Shrewsbury MA 2 CenWest (16- 5, 92.1) 8- 7 430 H Pope Francis MA 3 CenWest ( 6-12, 73.2) 14- 4 506 A Franklin, MA MA 1 South (16- 4, 94.6) 8-22 509 A Northampton MA 2 CenWest ( 9-10, 79.2) 19- 6 512 A Pinkerton Academy NH 1 (19- 2, 98.7) 12-11 514 A Daniel Hand CT M (14- 7, 87.8) 5- 4 o 516 H South Hadley MA 3 CenWest (10-10, 76.8) 20- 3 519 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg MA 1 North (11- 7, 94.1) 7-12 521 H Minnechaug Regional MA 2 CenWest (14- 6, 85.9) 17- 3 523 A Westfield, MA MA 2 CenWest (13- 7, 87.2) 16-12 524 H Boston College HS MA 1 South (20- 3, 99.9) 12-14 608 H Nashoba Regional MA 2 CenWest (12- 8, 83.0) 17- 4 612 H Marlborough MA 2 CenWest (15- 6, 86.5) 14- 8 615 N St John's, Shrewsbury MA 2 CenWest (16- 5, 92.1) 6- 5 619 N Concord-Carlisle MA 2 CenEast (18- 6, 91.5) 7- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Pope Francis 19- 4 15 19 0.00 407 A Duxbury 5- 6 2o -1 -3 + 2.84 410 A Minnechaug Regional 4- 3 1 6 -- -5.34 413 A South Hadley 15- 7 8 15 - -2.00 417 H Northampton 14- 3 11 14 0.00 420 N Billerica 9- 8 1 3 - -2.21 426 H Westfield, MA 16- 9 7 6 0.68 428 H St John's, Shrewsbury 8- 7 1 1 -0.40 430 H Pope Francis 14- 4 10 20 0.00 506 A Franklin, MA 8-22 -14 -2 --- -7.59 509 A Northampton 19- 6 13 13 0.00 512 A Pinkerton Academy 12-11 1 -6 n/a 514 A Daniel Hand 5- 4 o 1 4 n/a 516 H South Hadley 20- 3 17 16 0.00 519 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.14 521 H Minnechaug Regional 17- 3 14 7 + 2.36 523 A Westfield, MA 16-12 4 5 -1.03 524 H Boston College HS 12-14 -2 -6 ++ 4.37 608 H Nashoba Regional 17- 4 13 10 0.00 612 H Marlborough 14- 8 6 7 -1.08 615 N St John's, Shrewsbury 6- 5 1 0 0.25 619 N Concord-Carlisle 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.41UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A Franklin, MA 8-22 -14 -2 --- -7.59 410 A Minnechaug Regional 4- 3 1 6 -- -5.34 413 A South Hadley 15- 7 8 15 - -2.00 420 N Billerica 9- 8 1 3 - -2.21 514 A Daniel Hand 5- 4 o 1 4 - 519 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.14 619 N Concord-Carlisle 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Pinkerton Academy 12-11 1 -6 +++ 524 H Boston College HS 12-14 -2 -6 ++ 4.37 407 A Duxbury 5- 6 2o -1 -3 + 2.84 521 H Minnechaug Regional 17- 3 14 7 + 2.36/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.88 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 71.31 Local SOS Rank............. 12 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 6 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 12 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7