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Region = DC WCAC Nickname = D Falcons Coach = Matt DurkinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.7824707 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Friends MD B MIAA (16- 3, 99.9) 7- 8 309 H The Heights MD MILL-W (17- 5, 93.5) 6- 7 315 A Mount St Joseph, MD MD A MIAA ( 6-11, 84.9) 6-12 323 A Paul VI DC WCAC (19- 4, 97.3) 10- 8 327 H Bishop Ireton DC WCAC ( 2-16, 78.5) 13- 7 403 H Shaker Heights OH 1 Reg-2 ( 8-12, 81.2) 17- 4 405 H Loyola Academy, IL IL A Cath (22- 3, 99.9) 8- 9 407 H Shaker NY A Sec 2 (12- 5, 95.0) 6- 3 410 H Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC (11-10, 89.9) 8- 7 o 412 A DeMatha DC WCAC (12- 7, 93.5) 10-16 414 H River Hill MD 2A ( 8- 8, 84.5) 13- 6 416 H Huntingtown MD 3A (11- 5, 86.6) 11- 6 420 H Gonzaga DC WCAC (17- 3, 99.9) 4-17 424 A St John's College HS DC WCAC (12- 4, 94.8) 9-12 427 A Bel Air MD 3A (10- 6, 85.9) 5- 6 429 H St Marys Ryken DC WCAC ( 6-13, 85.4) 11-12 o 501 A St John's College HS DC WCAC (12- 4, 94.8) 9-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Friends 7- 8 -1 -11 n/a 309 H The Heights 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.91 315 A Mount St Joseph, MD 6-12 -6 2 n/a 323 A Paul VI 10- 8 2 -9 +++ 11.35 327 H Bishop Ireton 13- 7 6 10 -- -4.00 403 H Shaker Heights 17- 4 13 7 n/a 405 H Loyola Academy, IL 8- 9 -1 -11 n/a 407 H Shaker 6- 3 3 -6 n/a 410 H Bishop O'Connell 8- 7 o 1 -1 + 2.30 412 A DeMatha 10-16 -6 -5 -0.50 414 H River Hill 13- 6 7 4 n/a 416 H Huntingtown 11- 6 5 2 n/a 420 H Gonzaga 4-17 -13 -11 0.00 424 A St John's College HS 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.88 427 A Bel Air 5- 6 -1 1 n/a 429 H St Marys Ryken 11-12 o -1 3 -- -4.21 501 A St John's College HS 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.88UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A Mount St Joseph, MD 6-12 -6 2 --- 327 H Bishop Ireton 13- 7 6 10 -- -4.00 429 H St Marys Ryken 11-12 o -1 3 -- -4.21 427 A Bel Air 5- 6 -1 1 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Friends 7- 8 -1 -11 +++ 323 A Paul VI 10- 8 2 -9 +++ 11.35 405 H Loyola Academy, IL 8- 9 -1 -11 +++ 407 H Shaker 6- 3 3 -6 +++ 309 H The Heights 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.91 403 H Shaker Heights 17- 4 13 7 + 410 H Bishop O'Connell 8- 7 o 1 -1 + 2.30 414 H River Hill 13- 6 7 4 + 416 H Huntingtown 11- 6 5 2 + 424 A St John's College HS 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.88 501 A St John's College HS 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.88/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.29 Local Power Rank........... 9 Local SOS Rating......... 79.59 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7