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Conf = Dual County Region = MA 1 North Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Pat AmmendoliaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.9243927 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 A Woburn Memorial MA 1 North ( 9-10, 79.0) 13- 5 409 H Melrose MA 2 North (18- 2, 95.6) 6-12 412 A Westwood, MA MA 2 CenEast (16- 5, 92.6) 8- 9 o 414 A Algonquin MA 2 CenWest (14- 6, 89.0) 11-10 o 417 H Marshfield MA 1 South ( 9- 9, 85.5) 13- 5 419 H Brookline MA 1 South ( 3-15, 72.5) 15- 2 421 H Wakefield, MA MA 2 North (11- 8, 86.2) 13- 9 423 A Newton South MA 1 South ( 9- 8, 79.8) 12- 5 424 H Exeter HS NH 1 (15- 5, 91.8) 6-12 427 H Weston, MA MA 3 CenEast ( 9- 9, 79.2) 12- 6 501 A Waltham MA 1 North ( 9- 9, 81.7) 13- 4 503 A Wayland MA 2 CenEast (17- 3, 92.9) 11- 5 504 H Bedford, NH NH 1 (12- 7, 88.9) 9- 8 o 508 H Lincoln-Sudbury Reg MA 1 North (11- 7, 94.1) 6-10 518 A Concord-Carlisle MA 2 CenEast (18- 6, 91.5) 4- 9 521 A Reading MA 2 North (16- 7, 91.3) 12- 6 523 H Needham MA 1 South (13- 7, 91.0) 9-10 o 529 H Westford Academy MA 1 North (10- 8, 82.9) 7- 8 605 H Malden MA 1 North (10- 9, 69.4) 17- 4 609 H St John's Prep, Danver MA 1 North (11-10, 89.5) 9- 8 612 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg MA 1 North (11- 7, 94.1) 7- 6 o 615 N Andover HS, MA MA 1 North (13-10, 87.0) 9- 4 623 N Boston College HS MA 1 South (20- 3, 99.9) 3-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Woburn Memorial 13- 5 8 10 - -2.00 409 H Melrose 6-12 -6 -5 -0.91 412 A Westwood, MA 8- 9 o -1 -3 + 2.41 414 A Algonquin 11-10 o 1 0 0.85 417 H Marshfield 13- 5 8 4 + 3.03 419 H Brookline 15- 2 13 17 0.00 421 H Wakefield, MA 13- 9 4 4 -0.29 423 A Newton South 12- 5 7 9 - -2.39 424 H Exeter HS 6-12 -6 -1 n/a 427 H Weston, MA 12- 6 6 11 -- -4.00 501 A Waltham 13- 4 9 7 1.49 503 A Wayland 11- 5 6 -3 +++ 9.76 504 H Bedford, NH 9- 8 o 1 1 n/a 508 H Lincoln-Sudbury Reg 6-10 -4 -3 -0.38 518 A Concord-Carlisle 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.71 521 A Reading 12- 6 6 -2 +++ 8.11 523 H Needham 9-10 o -1 0 -0.46 529 H Westford Academy 7- 8 -1 7 --- -8.57 605 H Malden 17- 4 13 21 0.00 609 H St John's Prep, Danver 9- 8 1 0 0.02 612 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg 7- 6 o 1 -4 ++ 5.92 615 N Andover HS, MA 9- 4 5 2 + 2.21 623 N Boston College HS 3-16 -13 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 529 H Westford Academy 7- 8 -1 7 --- -8.57 424 H Exeter HS 6-12 -6 -1 -- 427 H Weston, MA 12- 6 6 11 -- -4.00 402 A Woburn Memorial 13- 5 8 10 - -2.00 423 A Newton South 12- 5 7 9 - -2.39 518 A Concord-Carlisle 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.71OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Wayland 11- 5 6 -3 +++ 9.76 521 A Reading 12- 6 6 -2 +++ 8.11 612 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg 7- 6 o 1 -4 ++ 5.92 412 A Westwood, MA 8- 9 o -1 -3 + 2.41 417 H Marshfield 13- 5 8 4 + 3.03 615 N Andover HS, MA 9- 4 5 2 + 2.21/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.82 Local Power Rank........... 25 Local SOS Rating......... 71.92 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 21 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 27 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3