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Conf = SCIAC Region = CT L Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Scott BasileGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.6486053 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Hamden CT L ( 6-10, 64.2) 18- 3 407 A Conard-West Hartford CT L ( 9- 9, 74.6) 15- 5 410 H Notre Dame-West Haven CT M (12- 7, 78.6) 9-10 o 417 A North Haven CT M (15- 4, 80.6) 10- 9 419 A Foran CT M (12- 5, 71.9) 18- 2 422 H New Fairfield CT M (18- 3, 85.7) 9-15 424 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (14- 8, 80.4) 11- 6 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe CT L ( 8-10, 76.9) 5- 3 428 H Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 5-11, 62.8) 20- 3 501 A Fairfield Prep CT L (15- 5, 88.1) 6-17 503 H Amity Regional CT L ( 5-11, 69.2) 7- 6 508 A Cheshire HS CT L (17- 6, 84.3) 13-14 512 H Simsbury CT L (11- 9, 80.4) 15-14 o 515 H Guilford CT M ( 9- 9, 78.2) 13-14 517 A East Lyme CT M (11- 8, 73.6) 12- 6 519 A Catholic Memorial MA 1 South ( 9-11, 83.6) 11-12 o 520 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (14- 8, 80.4) 9- 5 523 A Fairfield Prep CT L (15- 5, 88.1) 5-10 526 H Hall-West Hartford CT L ( 6-10, 69.5) 12- 4 531 A Wilton CT L (15- 6, 87.5) 6-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Hamden 18- 3 15 16 0.00 407 A Conard-West Hartford 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.83 410 H Notre Dame-West Haven 9-10 o -1 2 - -3.45 417 A North Haven 10- 9 1 0 1.87 419 A Foran 18- 2 16 7 + 2.17 422 H New Fairfield 9-15 -6 -4 -1.32 424 H Daniel Hand-Madison 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.40 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 5- 3 2 2 -0.91 428 H Norwich Free Academy 20- 3 17 18 0.00 501 A Fairfield Prep 6-17 -11 -8 -1.64 503 H Amity Regional 7- 6 1 11 --- -9.00 508 A Cheshire HS 13-14 -1 -4 + 3.51 512 H Simsbury 15-14 o 1 0 0.36 515 H Guilford 13-14 -1 2 - -3.86 517 A East Lyme 12- 6 6 6 -0.14 519 A Catholic Memorial 11-12 o -1 -3 n/a 520 H Daniel Hand-Madison 9- 5 4 0 + 3.40 523 A Fairfield Prep 5-10 -5 -8 + 3.36 526 H Hall-West Hartford 12- 4 8 11 - -2.00 531 A Wilton 6-15 -9 -7 -1.29UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Amity Regional 7- 6 1 11 --- -9.00 410 H Notre Dame-West Haven 9-10 o -1 2 - -3.45 515 H Guilford 13-14 -1 2 - -3.86 526 H Hall-West Hartford 12- 4 8 11 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Conard-West Hartford 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.83 424 H Daniel Hand-Madison 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.40 419 A Foran 18- 2 16 7 + 2.17 508 A Cheshire HS 13-14 -1 -4 + 3.51 519 A Catholic Memorial 11-12 o -1 -3 + 520 H Daniel Hand-Madison 9- 5 4 0 + 3.40 523 A Fairfield Prep 5-10 -5 -8 + 3.36/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.40 Local Power Rank........... 16 Local SOS Rating......... 54.52 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 97 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0