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Conf = Dist-III Region = PA Lan-Leb Nickname = A Warriors Coach = Wayne HummerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6292877 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 324 H Carlisle PA Mid 1 (12- 6, 92.7) 7- 5 328 A Cedar Crest PA Lan-Leb ( 2-13, 77.0) 9- 7 330 H Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (19- 4, 98.4) 1-10 401 A Red Lion PA York (12- 7, 91.4) 8- 9 o 404 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA Lan-Leb ( 5- 9, 82.1) 15- 7 407 H Garden Spot PA Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 69.8) 17- 2 408 H Governor Mifflin PA Berks-1 (14- 6, 92.3) 4- 5 412 A Elizabethtown PA Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 85.8) 10- 8 413 H Palmyra PA Mid 1 (22- 2, 99.9) 6-11 418 A Cocalico PA Lan-Leb (12- 9, 87.7) 4- 8 420 H Danville Area PA CSNLL ( 5- 9, 73.2) 19- 4 422 H Exeter Township PA Berks-1 ( 9-10, 83.8) 8- 4 424 H Lancaster Cou Day PA Lan-Leb (13- 6, 86.3) 11- 2 426 H Hempfield PA Lan-Leb (12- 7, 94.3) 2-13 428 H Ephrata PA Lan-Leb ( 5-13, 80.6) 17- 9 502 A Conestoga Valley PA Lan-Leb ( 5-13, 76.0) 16- 3 504 A Penn Manor PA Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 90.2) 4- 1 509 N Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (19- 4, 98.4) 3- 8 516 A Red Lion PA York (12- 7, 91.4) 10- 7 518 A Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (19- 4, 98.4) 5-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Carlisle 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.56 328 A Cedar Crest 9- 7 2 12 --- -8.00 330 H Manheim Township 1-10 -9 -7 -1.71 401 A Red Lion 8- 9 o -1 -1 0.55 404 A Lampeter-Strasburg 15- 7 8 7 0.18 407 H Garden Spot 17- 2 15 21 0.00 408 H Governor Mifflin 4- 5 -1 -1 0.22 412 A Elizabethtown 10- 8 2 4 - -2.09 413 H Palmyra 6-11 -5 -8 + 3.78 418 A Cocalico 4- 8 -4 2 --- -6.17 420 H Danville Area 19- 4 15 17 0.00 422 H Exeter Township 8- 4 4 7 - -3.30 424 H Lancaster Cou Day 11- 2 9 4 ++ 4.13 426 H Hempfield 2-13 -11 -3 --- -6.79 428 H Ephrata 17- 9 8 10 - -2.00 502 A Conestoga Valley 16- 3 13 13 0.00 504 A Penn Manor 4- 1 3 0 + 3.28 509 N Manheim Township 3- 8 -5 -7 + 2.92 516 A Red Lion 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.55 518 A Manheim Township 5-10 -5 -8 + 3.54UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Cedar Crest 9- 7 2 12 --- -8.00 418 A Cocalico 4- 8 -4 2 --- -6.17 426 H Hempfield 2-13 -11 -3 --- -6.79 412 A Elizabethtown 10- 8 2 4 - -2.09 422 H Exeter Township 8- 4 4 7 - -3.30 428 H Ephrata 17- 9 8 10 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Lancaster Cou Day 11- 2 9 4 ++ 4.13 516 A Red Lion 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.55 324 H Carlisle 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.56 413 H Palmyra 6-11 -5 -8 + 3.78 504 A Penn Manor 4- 1 3 0 + 3.28 509 N Manheim Township 3- 8 -5 -7 + 2.92 518 A Manheim Township 5-10 -5 -8 + 3.54
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.50 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 72.90 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 17 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 62 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3