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Conf = ECIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Bears Coach = Dean PattyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.2736206 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A East Lyme CT M (11- 8, 73.6) 4-16 408 A Westerly RI 2 South ( 3-12, 66.2) 7- 6 413 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler CT S (10- 7, 63.1) 5- 4 418 A Griswold CT S ( 0-15, 41.8) 18- 0 422 A Waterford CT S (19- 3, 73.1) 6- 9 425 H Woodstock Academy CT M ( 3-13, 56.2) 8- 4 427 H Bacon Academy CT S (12- 6, 68.3) 11- 9 429 H Montville CT S ( 6-10, 58.2) 16- 3 501 A Fitch-Groton CT M ( 8-10, 62.3) 10-11 502 H Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 5-11, 62.8) 13- 6 509 H Griswold CT S ( 0-15, 41.8) 17- 0 513 H Waterford CT S (19- 3, 73.1) 10-11 2o 515 A Woodstock Academy CT M ( 3-13, 56.2) 8- 4 518 A Bacon Academy CT S (12- 6, 68.3) 12-17 520 H Old Lyme CT S ( 6-11, 62.1) 10- 4 522 A Montville CT S ( 6-10, 58.2) 15- 6 523 N East Lyme CT M (11- 8, 73.6) 5-17 531 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler CT S (10- 7, 63.1) 14- 8 603 A Waterford CT S (19- 3, 73.1) 6- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A East Lyme 4-16 -12 -6 - -3.15 408 A Westerly 7- 6 1 0 n/a 413 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler 5- 4 1 4 - -3.94 418 A Griswold 18- 0 18 24 0.00 422 A Waterford 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.33 425 H Woodstock Academy 8- 4 4 11 --- -6.00 427 H Bacon Academy 11- 9 2 0 + 2.23 429 H Montville 16- 3 13 9 0.16 501 A Fitch-Groton 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.49 502 H Norwich Free Academy 13- 6 7 5 1.74 509 H Griswold 17- 0 17 26 0.00 513 H Waterford 10-11 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.07 515 A Woodstock Academy 8- 4 4 10 --- -6.00 518 A Bacon Academy 12-17 -5 -1 - -3.51 520 H Old Lyme 10- 4 6 5 0.07 522 A Montville 15- 6 9 8 0.42 523 N East Lyme 5-17 -12 -6 - -3.78 531 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler 14- 8 6 4 1.06 603 A Waterford 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.33UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Woodstock Academy 8- 4 4 11 --- -6.00 515 A Woodstock Academy 8- 4 4 10 --- -6.00 501 A Fitch-Groton 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.49 407 A East Lyme 4-16 -12 -6 - -3.15 413 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler 5- 4 1 4 - -3.94 518 A Bacon Academy 12-17 -5 -1 - -3.51 523 N East Lyme 5-17 -12 -6 - -3.78OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 H Waterford 10-11 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.07 603 A Waterford 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.33 422 A Waterford 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.33 427 H Bacon Academy 11- 9 2 0 + 2.23/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 67.42 Local Power Rank........... 49 Local SOS Rating......... 32.64 Local SOS Rank............. 71 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 40 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 79 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 47 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7