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Region = NY P Sec 6 Nickname = Y Red Raiders Coach = Michael BurkeGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.6304626 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 324 A Williamsville North NY B Sec 6 ( 8-10, 88.6) 10- 5 325 A Aquinas Institute NY C Sec 5 (10- 8, 86.6) 7-13 401 A Penn Yan NY D Sec 5 (10-10, 86.2) 2-14 404 A Timon St Jude NY P Sec 6 ( 5-10, 92.1) 10- 7 420 H Canisius NY P Sec 6 (11- 6, 98.4) 1- 8 422 H Brother Rice Orange MI Indep ( 8- 0, 92.7) 7-11 423 H St Joseph Collegiate NY P Sec 6 (16- 5, 99.9) 3-16 426 H Nichols NY P Sec 6 ( 8-10, 93.7) 9-12 428 H Lancaster NY A Sec 6 (16- 2, 99.1) 8- 9 429 H Erie-McDowell PA Dist-X ( 8-11, 83.7) 8- 7 502 A St Joseph Collegiate NY P Sec 6 (16- 5, 99.9) 1-17 504 A Canisius NY P Sec 6 (11- 6, 98.4) 7-12 508 H Aquinas Institute NY C Sec 5 (10- 8, 86.6) 5- 6 509 H McQuaid Jesuit NY B Sec 5 ( 8- 9, 84.3) 4-10 511 H Timon St Jude NY P Sec 6 ( 5-10, 92.1) 8- 6 516 A St Michael's College CN CISAA (22- 4, 98.6) 4-13 517 A Nichols NY P Sec 6 ( 8-10, 93.7) 8-10 523 A St Joseph Collegiate NY P Sec 6 (16- 5, 99.9) 3-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Williamsville North 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 7.86 325 A Aquinas Institute 7-13 -6 0 n/a 401 A Penn Yan 2-14 -12 0 n/a 404 A Timon St Jude 10- 7 3 -6 +++ 9.43 420 H Canisius 1- 8 -7 -10 + 3.00 422 H Brother Rice Orange 7-11 -4 -4 n/a 423 H St Joseph Collegiate 3-16 -13 -11 0.00 426 H Nichols 9-12 -3 -5 + 2.70 428 H Lancaster 8- 9 -1 -11 +++ 9.00 429 H Erie-McDowell 8- 7 1 4 n/a 502 A St Joseph Collegiate 1-17 -16 -14 0.00 504 A Canisius 7-12 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 508 H Aquinas Institute 5- 6 -1 1 n/a 509 H McQuaid Jesuit 4-10 -6 3 n/a 511 H Timon St Jude 8- 6 2 -4 +++ 6.15 516 A St Michael's College 4-13 -9 -12 n/a 517 A Nichols 8-10 -2 -7 ++ 5.98 523 A St Joseph Collegiate 3-17 -14 -14 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Penn Yan 2-14 -12 0 --- 509 H McQuaid Jesuit 4-10 -6 3 --- 325 A Aquinas Institute 7-13 -6 0 -- 429 H Erie-McDowell 8- 7 1 4 - 508 H Aquinas Institute 5- 6 -1 1 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Williamsville North 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 7.86 404 A Timon St Jude 10- 7 3 -6 +++ 9.43 428 H Lancaster 8- 9 -1 -11 +++ 9.00 511 H Timon St Jude 8- 6 2 -4 +++ 6.15 504 A Canisius 7-12 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 517 A Nichols 8-10 -2 -7 ++ 5.98 420 H Canisius 1- 8 -7 -10 + 3.00 426 H Nichols 9-12 -3 -5 + 2.70/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.85 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 84.05 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 25 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-14 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -8.3