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Conf = Fitch Region = NJ Grp-A Nickname = J Pirates Coach = Dave GiarussoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.6682281 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Summit NJ 3 North (16- 5, 93.3) 6- 8 401 H Montclair NJ 4 North ( 5-11, 76.6) 19- 2 404 H West Morris Central NJ 3 North ( 8-12, 82.7) 12-11 o 413 H Delbarton NJ Grp-A (21- 1, 99.9) 8- 7 415 A Glen Ridge NJ 1 South ( 5-10, 79.2) 15- 3 418 H West Essex Regional NJ 2 North ( 3-13, 76.0) 18- 3 420 A Sparta NJ 2 North ( 9-10, 83.4) 21- 8 422 A Montclair Kim Acad NJ Grp-B ( 1-14, 72.3) 21- 9 427 A Chatham NJ 2 North (16- 3, 94.9) 6- 8 429 N Hingham MA 2 South (23- 3, 96.3) 20-16 430 A Duxbury MA 1 South (17- 6, 93.0) 7- 9 502 H Columbia NJ 4 North (11- 8, 78.5) 19- 3 504 H West Essex Regional NJ 2 North ( 3-13, 76.0) 15- 1 506 N Caldwell NJ 1 South (14- 6, 85.2) 12- 8 508 H Caldwell NJ 1 South (14- 6, 85.2) 13- 3 510 A Westfield NJ 4 North (10- 7, 88.2) 15- 7 515 A Millburn NJ 3 North ( 8-11, 78.7) 18- 3 523 H Pope John XXIII NJ Grp-A (12- 7, 83.1) 13- 5 527 H Bergen Catholic NJ Grp-A ( 9- 8, 86.1) 17- 4 601 N Delbarton NJ Grp-A (21- 1, 99.9) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Summit 6- 8 -2 3 -- -5.03 401 H Montclair 19- 2 17 19 0.00 404 H West Morris Central 12-11 o 1 13 --- -9.00 413 H Delbarton 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.54 415 A Glen Ridge 15- 3 12 14 0.00 418 H West Essex Regional 18- 3 15 20 0.00 420 A Sparta 21- 8 13 10 0.00 422 A Montclair Kim Acad 21- 9 12 21 0.00 427 A Chatham 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.87 429 N Hingham 20-16 4 -1 n/a 430 A Duxbury 7- 9 -2 1 n/a 502 H Columbia 19- 3 16 17 0.00 504 H West Essex Regional 15- 1 14 20 0.00 506 N Caldwell 12- 8 4 9 -- -5.90 508 H Caldwell 13- 3 10 11 0.00 510 A Westfield 15- 7 8 5 + 2.42 515 A Millburn 18- 3 15 15 0.00 523 H Pope John XXIII 13- 5 8 13 - -2.00 527 H Bergen Catholic 17- 4 13 10 0.00 601 N Delbarton 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.83UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H West Morris Central 12-11 o 1 13 --- -9.00 329 H Summit 6- 8 -2 3 -- -5.03 506 N Caldwell 12- 8 4 9 -- -5.90 430 A Duxbury 7- 9 -2 1 - 523 H Pope John XXIII 13- 5 8 13 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 H Delbarton 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.54 429 N Hingham 20-16 4 -1 ++ 510 A Westfield 15- 7 8 5 + 2.42 601 N Delbarton 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.83/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.07 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 68.61 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 18 Championship Probability . 22.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.7