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Conf = MIDWEST Region = PA 3A Sec1 Nickname = A Blue Devils Coach = Mike ErmerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.5833740 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 324 A North Allegheny PA 3A Sec3 (15- 4, 97.7) 5- 3 328 H Baldwin PA 3A Sec1 ( 2-16, 70.9) 17- 1 404 A Canon-McMillan PA 3A Sec1 (11- 5, 92.8) 16- 3 407 A Kiski Prep PA Indep (14- 8, 96.9) 7- 8 411 H Central Catholic PA 3A Sec1 ( 5- 8, 84.0) 15- 0 415 N Strath Haven PA Centrl (15- 8, 93.8) 8-13 418 H Peters Township PA 3A Sec1 (14- 7, 95.9) 5-10 422 A Pine Richland PA 3A Sec3 (13- 5, 98.1) 7- 9 425 A Taylor Allderdice PA 3A Sec1 ( 1-11, 68.4) 13- 1 428 H Shady Side Academy PA 3A Sec2 (13- 9, 92.6) 10- 4 429 H Western Reserve Acad OH Indep (11- 7, 92.3) 8- 9 502 A Bethel Park PA 3A Sec1 ( 9- 7, 93.1) 5-12 505 H Hampton PA 2A Sec2 (13- 5, 92.9) 10- 8 509 H Upper St Clair PA 3A Sec1 (13- 7, 95.3) 10- 9 512 N Olentangy HS OH 1 Reg-1 (15- 6, 95.0) 5-12 513 N Cleveland St Ignatius OH 1 Reg-2 (14- 8, 93.6) 6-10 516 N Butler Area PA 3A Sec3 ( 9- 8, 89.7) 14- 1 518 A North Allegheny PA 3A Sec3 (15- 4, 97.7) 9- 6 523 N Upper St Clair PA 3A Sec1 (13- 7, 95.3) 12- 6 526 N Peters Township PA 3A Sec1 (14- 7, 95.9) 11-12 2o 530 N Wilson West Lawn PA Berks-1 (22- 2, 97.9) 8- 7 603 N State College PA Mid 1 (12- 9, 88.1) 11- 4 606 N Conestoga PA Centrl (22- 4, 99.9) 3-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A North Allegheny 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.85 328 H Baldwin 17- 1 16 23 0.00 404 A Canon-McMillan 16- 3 13 1 +++ 8.94 407 A Kiski Prep 7- 8 -1 -2 2.00 411 H Central Catholic 15- 0 15 10 0.00 415 N Strath Haven 8-13 -5 0 n/a 418 H Peters Township 5-10 -5 0 -- -4.00 422 A Pine Richland 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.22 425 A Taylor Allderdice 13- 1 12 25 0.00 428 H Shady Side Academy 10- 4 6 2 + 3.78 429 H Western Reserve Acad 8- 9 -1 2 n/a 502 A Bethel Park 5-12 -7 0 --- -7.77 505 H Hampton 10- 8 2 1 0.00 509 H Upper St Clair 10- 9 1 0 1.41 512 N Olentangy HS 5-12 -7 0 n/a 513 N Cleveland St Ignatius 6-10 -4 0 n/a 516 N Butler Area 14- 1 13 4 ++ 5.37 518 A North Allegheny 9- 6 3 -3 +++ 6.85 523 N Upper St Clair 12- 6 6 0 +++ 6.90 526 N Peters Township 11-12 2o -1 -1 0.49 530 N Wilson West Lawn 8- 7 1 -3 n/a 603 N State College 11- 4 7 6 n/a 606 N Conestoga 3-13 -10 -5 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Bethel Park 5-12 -7 0 --- -7.77 512 N Olentangy HS 5-12 -7 0 --- 415 N Strath Haven 8-13 -5 0 -- 418 H Peters Township 5-10 -5 0 -- -4.00 513 N Cleveland St Ignatius 6-10 -4 0 -- 606 N Conestoga 3-13 -10 -5 -- 429 H Western Reserve Acad 8- 9 -1 2 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Canon-McMillan 16- 3 13 1 +++ 8.94 518 A North Allegheny 9- 6 3 -3 +++ 6.85 523 N Upper St Clair 12- 6 6 0 +++ 6.90 324 A North Allegheny 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.85 516 N Butler Area 14- 1 13 4 ++ 5.37 530 N Wilson West Lawn 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 422 A Pine Richland 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.22 428 H Shady Side Academy 10- 4 6 2 + 3.78/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.37 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 82.40 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 6.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7