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Conf = Dist-III Region = PA Lan-Leb Nickname = A Bears Coach = Allen ShisslerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.1628418 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 325 H West Chester East PA ChesMon (11- 9, 87.0) 8-18 327 H Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 7-11, 82.7) 16- 9 329 H Lancaster Cou Day PA Lan-Leb (13- 6, 86.3) 7- 6 403 A Hempfield PA Lan-Leb (12- 7, 94.3) 1-14 405 H Ephrata PA Lan-Leb ( 5-13, 80.6) 14- 9 408 H West York PA York ( 6- 9, 85.5) 7-10 410 A Conestoga Valley PA Lan-Leb ( 5-13, 76.0) 14- 7 412 H Warwick PA Lan-Leb (12- 8, 90.5) 8-10 418 A Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (19- 4, 98.4) 6-15 420 H Lampeter-Strasburg PA Lan-Leb ( 5- 9, 82.1) 13-10 422 A Wyomissing PA Berks-2 ( 5-13, 77.3) 13- 4 425 H Cedar Crest PA Lan-Leb ( 2-13, 77.0) 8- 7 2o 428 H Cocalico PA Lan-Leb (12- 9, 87.7) 5-10 429 A York Catholic PA York (15- 6, 92.5) 13-21 502 A Penn Manor PA Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 90.2) 9- 7 504 A Garden Spot PA Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 69.8) 17- 7 516 A Governor Mifflin PA Berks-1 (14- 6, 92.3) 7- 8 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H West Chester East 8-18 -10 0 n/a 327 H Central Dauphin 16- 9 7 3 + 3.26 329 H Lancaster Cou Day 7- 6 1 0 0.85 403 A Hempfield 1-14 -13 -9 -0.83 405 H Ephrata 14- 9 5 5 -0.82 408 H West York 7-10 -3 0 - -3.95 410 A Conestoga Valley 14- 7 7 9 - -2.12 412 H Warwick 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.09 418 A Manheim Township 6-15 -9 -13 1.00 420 H Lampeter-Strasburg 13-10 3 4 -1.35 422 A Wyomissing 13- 4 9 7 1.14 425 H Cedar Crest 8- 7 2o 1 9 --- -8.38 428 H Cocalico 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.70 429 A York Catholic 13-21 -8 -7 -0.67 502 A Penn Manor 9- 7 2 -4 +++ 7.00 504 A Garden Spot 17- 7 10 15 0.00 516 A Governor Mifflin 7- 8 o -1 -7 +++ 6.18UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H West Chester East 8-18 -10 0 --- 425 H Cedar Crest 8- 7 2o 1 9 --- -8.38 408 H West York 7-10 -3 0 - -3.95 410 A Conestoga Valley 14- 7 7 9 - -2.12 428 H Cocalico 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.70OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Penn Manor 9- 7 2 -4 +++ 7.00 516 A Governor Mifflin 7- 8 o -1 -7 +++ 6.18 327 H Central Dauphin 16- 9 7 3 + 3.26 412 H Warwick 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.09/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.78 Local Power Rank........... 28 Local SOS Rating......... 68.13 Local SOS Rank............. 29 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 30 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 31 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 26 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7