Holy Family Catholic          3 -11


 
   Conf =  Sec2                      Region = MN 1  Indep            
   Nickname = N Fire                 Coach  =   Mike Livingston       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   78.3514252    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 418 H Chaska                 MN 1  MetWest ( 3-11, 73.7)     1- 7   
 420 H Forest Lake            MN 1  East    ( 3-12, 69.4)     6- 8   
 425 A Chanhassen             MN 1  MetWest (12- 3, 92.6)     4-17   
 429 A Hermantown/Proctor     MN 1  Indep   (10- 6, 79.1)    10-13   
 503 H Orono                  MN 1  Indep   ( 9- 5, 86.6)     1-17   
 504 H Providence Academy     MN 1  IMAC    ( 8- 6, 78.0)     7-16   
 508 A Breck                  MN 1  IMAC    ( 3-10, 68.8)     9-10   
 509 A Blake                  MN 1  IMAC    ( 9- 7, 85.7)     4-13   
 512 A Cooper                 MN 1  MetWest ( 0-13, 55.5)    19- 3   
 515 H Delano                 MN 1  GrWest  (10- 4, 81.0)     5- 9   
 522 H Hutchinson             MN 1  GrWest  ( 5-10, 68.4)     5- 7   
 524 A Hopkins                MN 1  Lake    ( 1-14, 67.8)     4- 2   
 531 A Hutchinson             MN 1  GrWest  ( 5-10, 68.4)    10- 9   
 601 A Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (17- 2, 94.3)     1-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Chaska                  1- 7      -6    -3    -     -2.95
   420 H Forest Lake             6- 8      -2     1    -     -3.25
   425 A Chanhassen              4-17     -13   -23           0.00
   429 A Hermantown/Proctor     10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   503 H Orono                   1-17     -16   -15           0.00
   504 H Providence Academy      7-16      -9    -7          -1.71
   508 A Breck                   9-10      -1     0          -0.90
   509 A Blake                   4-13      -9   -16           1.00
   512 A Cooper                 19- 3      16    13           0.00
   515 H Delano                  5- 9      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   522 H Hutchinson              5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.23
   524 A Hopkins                 4- 2       2     0           1.11
   531 A Hutchinson             10- 9       1     0           0.70
   601 A Eden Prairie            1-17     -16   -25           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Hutchinson              5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.23
   418 H Chaska                  1- 7      -6    -3    -     -2.95
   420 H Forest Lake             6- 8      -2     1    -     -3.25


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Hermantown/Proctor     10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   515 H Delano                  5- 9      -4   -10    +++    6.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.71 Local Power Rank...........    65
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.81 Local SOS Rank.............    61
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    70
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    68
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3


  
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