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Conf = Bay State Region = MA 1 South Nickname = A Flyers Coach = Luke BigginsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.7416534 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Needham MA 1 South (18- 4, 92.0) 9-16 411 H Dedham MA 2 CenEast ( 4-13, 67.2) 18- 3 413 H Newton North MA 1 South (16- 5, 88.6) 6-14 415 H Nashua North NH 1 ( 4-13, 78.3) 9- 5 418 A Holliston MA 2 CenEast ( 7-11, 78.9) 7-14 422 H Nauset MA 2 South ( 9-11, 74.7) 18- 8 425 H Milton MA 2 South ( 1-17, 63.4) 17- 7 427 A St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 CenWest (17- 4, 90.3) 5-19 428 H Braintree MA 1 South ( 6-12, 74.0) 18- 8 502 A Norwood MA 2 South ( 6-13, 68.8) 16- 6 504 A Walpole MA 2 CenEast (19- 2, 92.3) 2-15 506 H Wayland MA 2 CenEast (13- 6, 86.1) 10-12 509 H Wellesley MA 1 South (14- 6, 86.7) 5-15 511 A Weymouth MA 1 South (11-10, 79.4) 8-13 513 H Holliston MA 2 CenEast ( 7-11, 78.9) 4- 8 516 H Natick MA 1 South (12- 6, 84.0) 8- 9 518 A Brookline MA 1 South (10- 9, 79.1) 3-12 520 A Acton Boxborough MA 1 North (16- 5, 90.1) 7-15 522 A Nauset MA 2 South ( 9-11, 74.7) 7-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Needham 9-16 -7 -16 + 3.00 411 H Dedham 18- 3 15 9 0.19 413 H Newton North 6-14 -8 -11 + 2.00 415 H Nashua North 9- 5 4 -1 n/a 418 A Holliston 7-14 -7 -3 - -3.80 422 H Nauset 18- 8 10 2 +++ 7.70 425 H Milton 17- 7 10 13 0.00 427 A St Johns Shrewsbury 5-19 -14 -14 0.00 428 H Braintree 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.99 502 A Norwood 16- 6 10 6 + 3.07 504 A Walpole 2-15 -13 -16 0.00 506 H Wayland 10-12 -2 -9 +++ 7.13 509 H Wellesley 5-15 -10 -9 -0.29 511 A Weymouth 8-13 -5 -3 -1.36 513 H Holliston 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.08 516 H Natick 8- 9 -1 -6 ++ 5.97 518 A Brookline 3-12 -9 -3 -- -5.64 520 A Acton Boxborough 7-15 -8 -14 + 2.00 522 A Nauset 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.02UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 518 A Brookline 3-12 -9 -3 -- -5.64 522 A Nauset 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.02 418 A Holliston 7-14 -7 -3 - -3.80 513 H Holliston 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.08OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Nauset 18- 8 10 2 +++ 7.70 428 H Braintree 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.99 506 H Wayland 10-12 -2 -9 +++ 7.13 415 H Nashua North 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 516 H Natick 8- 9 -1 -6 ++ 5.97 407 A Needham 9-16 -7 -16 + 3.00 413 H Newton North 6-14 -8 -11 + 2.00 502 A Norwood 16- 6 10 6 + 3.07 520 A Acton Boxborough 7-15 -8 -14 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.38 Local Power Rank........... 98 Local SOS Rating......... 59.14 Local SOS Rank............. 44 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 135 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 76 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 156 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.7