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Region = VA 4A Evergrn Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Eric MorrisonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.3921585 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Handley VA Indep ( 9- 2, 93.6) 12- 7 324 A Loudoun Valley VA 4A DullesW ( 5-11, 80.0) 11-10 o 330 H Broad Run VA 5A No-Loud ( 8- 7, 89.3) 7-12 403 A Hylton VA 6A Conf-4 ( 4-10, 71.4) 16- 2 405 H Rock Ridge VA 4A DullesE ( 4-12, 77.1) 19-11 418 A Battlefield VA 6A Cedar ( 9- 7, 86.5) 11-12 o 424 A Culpeper County VA 4A Evergrn ( 7- 7, 79.7) 16-12 427 H Loudoun County VA 4A DullesW (12- 6, 88.0) 10-12 501 H Brentsville VA 4A Evergrn (10- 5, 85.6) 10-12 502 A Freedom-South Riding VA 4A DullesE (14- 5, 92.5) 9-20 503 A James Monroe VA 4A Evergrn ( 3-12, 66.9) 1- 0 504 A Liberty-Bealeton VA 4A Evergrn ( 5- 9, 68.6) 18- 1 508 H Kettle Run VA 4A Evergrn ( 9- 6, 84.7) 14- 7 515 H James Monroe VA 4A Evergrn ( 3-12, 66.9) 13- 2 519 H Kettle Run VA 4A Evergrn ( 9- 6, 84.7) 12- 4 522 N Brentsville VA 4A Evergrn (10- 5, 85.6) 12-14 526 A Freedom-South Riding VA 4A DullesE (14- 5, 92.5) 3-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Handley 12- 7 5 -7 n/a 324 A Loudoun Valley 11-10 o 1 4 - -3.82 330 H Broad Run 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.50 403 A Hylton 16- 2 14 13 0.00 405 H Rock Ridge 19-11 8 9 -1.69 418 A Battlefield 11-12 o -1 -1 0.65 424 A Culpeper County 16-12 4 5 -1.21 427 H Loudoun County 10-12 -2 -1 -0.80 501 H Brentsville 10-12 -2 1 - -3.12 502 A Freedom-South Riding 9-20 -11 -7 - -2.39 504 A Liberty-Bealeton 18- 1 17 16 0.00 508 H Kettle Run 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.96 515 H James Monroe 13- 2 11 19 0.00 519 H Kettle Run 12- 4 8 2 ++ 5.96 522 N Brentsville 12-14 -2 0 - -2.17 526 A Freedom-South Riding 3-16 -13 -7 - -2.39UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Loudoun Valley 11-10 o 1 4 - -3.82 330 H Broad Run 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.50 501 H Brentsville 10-12 -2 1 - -3.12 502 A Freedom-South Riding 9-20 -11 -7 - -2.39 522 N Brentsville 12-14 -2 0 - -2.17 526 A Freedom-South Riding 3-16 -13 -7 - -2.39OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Handley 12- 7 5 -7 +++ 508 H Kettle Run 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.96 519 H Kettle Run 12- 4 8 2 ++ 5.96/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.82 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 62.12 Local SOS Rank............. 48 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 47 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 39 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 51 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3