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Conf = SCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Tigers Coach = Paul DeonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.1300354 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Conard-West Hartford CT L ( 9- 9, 74.6) 4- 3 405 H Foran CT M (12- 5, 71.9) 18- 3 410 A Amity Regional CT L ( 5-11, 69.2) 4- 3 413 A Simsbury CT L (11- 9, 80.4) 7- 5 415 N Mattituck-Greenport NY C Sec 11 ( 7- 8, 78.2) 13- 4 418 H Cheshire HS CT L (17- 6, 84.3) 6-13 420 A Hamden CT L ( 6-10, 64.2) 16- 2 422 H Glastonbury CT L (17- 4, 89.6) 1-10 424 A Xavier CT L (12- 8, 80.4) 6-11 429 A Joel Barlow CT M (11- 9, 79.5) 12- 4 501 H Guilford CT M ( 9- 9, 78.2) 10- 7 506 A East Lyme CT M (11- 8, 73.6) 7- 8 o 508 H Notre Dame-West Haven CT M (12- 7, 78.6) 7- 5 510 A North Haven CT M (15- 4, 80.6) 4- 7 515 H Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 5-11, 62.8) 16- 2 517 H Fairfield Prep CT L (15- 5, 88.1) 7- 8 o 520 A Xavier CT L (12- 8, 80.4) 5- 9 527 H Newington CT M ( 8-10, 62.8) 17- 1 531 A Berlin CT M (13- 6, 69.1) 12- 2 603 A Weston CT M (15- 5, 82.5) 4- 3 607 N North Haven CT M (15- 4, 80.6) 7- 4 610 N New Canaan CT M (15- 6, 90.1) 6- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Conard-West Hartford 4- 3 1 6 -- -5.46 405 H Foran 18- 3 15 9 0.88 410 A Amity Regional 4- 3 1 10 --- -9.00 413 A Simsbury 7- 5 2 0 + 2.58 415 N Mattituck-Greenport 13- 4 9 2 n/a 418 H Cheshire HS 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.78 420 A Hamden 16- 2 14 15 0.00 422 H Glastonbury 1-10 -9 -8 -0.48 424 A Xavier 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.40 429 A Joel Barlow 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.69 501 H Guilford 10- 7 3 2 0.10 506 A East Lyme 7- 8 o -1 6 --- -7.17 508 H Notre Dame-West Haven 7- 5 2 2 -0.48 510 A North Haven 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.16 515 H Norwich Free Academy 16- 2 14 18 0.00 517 H Fairfield Prep 7- 8 o -1 -7 +++ 6.07 520 A Xavier 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.40 527 H Newington 17- 1 16 18 0.00 531 A Berlin 12- 2 10 10 0.00 603 A Weston 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.67 607 N North Haven 7- 4 3 0 + 3.21 610 N New Canaan 6- 9 -3 -9 +++ 6.68UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Amity Regional 4- 3 1 10 --- -9.00 506 A East Lyme 7- 8 o -1 6 --- -7.17 404 H Conard-West Hartford 4- 3 1 6 -- -5.46 424 A Xavier 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.40 418 H Cheshire HS 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.78 510 A North Haven 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.16 520 A Xavier 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 N Mattituck-Greenport 13- 4 9 2 +++ 429 A Joel Barlow 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.69 517 H Fairfield Prep 7- 8 o -1 -7 +++ 6.07 610 N New Canaan 6- 9 -3 -9 +++ 6.68 413 A Simsbury 7- 5 2 0 + 2.58 603 A Weston 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.67 607 N North Haven 7- 4 3 0 + 3.21/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.44 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 53.48 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 26 Local Quality Win Rating. 0.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 17 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3