Cary Christian                3 - 8


 
                                     Region = NC 2  NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Knights              Coach  =   Don Thomas            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   73.2667694    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Wesleyan Christian     NC 1  NCISAA  ( 6- 8, 69.9)    10-11   
 303 A Kerr-Vance Academy     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 1- 8, 63.8)    11- 5   
 321 H Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 7- 7, 76.5)     8-17   
 403 H Epiphany School        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 0- 5, 61.1)    14- 4   
 406 H St. David's School     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 8- 7, 76.4)     7-13   
 413 A Southlake Christian    NC 2  NCISAA  (14- 4, 85.2)    12-17   
 418 H Kerr-Vance Academy     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 1- 8, 63.8)    17- 5   
 421 H Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 6, 87.9)    10-21   
 502 A St. David's School     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 8- 7, 76.4)     9-14   
 505 A Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 6, 87.9)     0-16   
 508 A Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 7- 7, 76.5)     6-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Wesleyan Christian     10-11      -1     0          -1.37
   303 A Kerr-Vance Academy     11- 5       6     4           1.87
   321 H Parrott Academy         8-17      -9    -6    -     -2.75
   403 H Epiphany School        14- 4      10     9           0.88
   406 H St. David's School      7-13      -6    -6           0.23
   413 A Southlake Christian    12-17      -5   -17    ++     5.00
   418 H Kerr-Vance Academy     17- 5      12     6    +      3.55
   421 H Cape Fear Academy      10-21     -11   -17           0.00
   502 A St. David's School      9-14      -5    -8    +      3.55
   505 A Cape Fear Academy       0-16     -16   -20           0.00
   508 A Parrott Academy         6-12      -6    -8    +      2.57


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Parrott Academy         8-17      -9    -6    -     -2.75


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Southlake Christian    12-17      -5   -17    ++     5.00
   418 H Kerr-Vance Academy     17- 5      12     6    +      3.55
   502 A St. David's School      9-14      -5    -8    +      3.55
   508 A Parrott Academy         6-12      -6    -8    +      2.57




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.06 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.14 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.34 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.0


  
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